Polling and Projections
YouGov, 6th – 10th of November 2020
The first of a double-whammy of polls, YouGov shows the currently standard SNP majority, with (relative to other pollsters) lows for Labour, Lib Dems and Greens. […]
Year: 2020
Polling and Projections
Survation, 28th of October – 4th of November 2020
Capping off an extremely busy week both for BBS content and for politics nerds in general, a rare Labour second place is the main story in this otherwise on-trend poll. […]
By-elections
Kincorth/Nigg/Cove (Aberdeen) By-Election Result
A foregone conclusion for the SNP, perhaps the most interesting part of this by-election is that it raises the possibility Labour may lose their seat here in 2022, allowing the return of the 2012-17 Independent councillor Andy Finlayson. […]
Behind the Scenes
Islands Act Boundary Reviews – Highland
Boundary changes are incoming for Councils that include inhabited islands as a result of the Islands Act. Highland is in for sweeping changes, but those result more from the Electoral Reform Act. […]
Behind the Scenes
Islands Act Boundary Reviews – Argyll & Bute and North Ayrshire
Boundary changes are incoming for Councils that include inhabited islands as a result of the Islands Act. Here, we look at how Argyll & Bute and North Ayrshire may be affected. […]
By-elections
Perth City (Perth and Kinross) By-Elections, 26/11/2020
A two-fer of Perth City By-Elections to (possibly) wrap up 2020’s by-elections. Expect the SNP to romp home in North, but South is a much more complex three-way split, with SNP and Lib Dems probably in a better position than the Conservatives. […]
By-elections
North Lanarkshire By-Elections, 04/03/2021
Two by-elections, in two wards that have already had by-elections since 2017, with Labour capable of winning both, which would give them every councillor in both. Guys, this wasn’t how STV was meant to go. […]
By-elections
Ellon and District (Aberdeenshire) By-Election Result
In the first party-political by-election anywhere in the UK since March, the SNP snatch a narrow surprise win over the Conservatives. […]
Polling and Projections
Ipsos MORI, 2nd-9th of October 2020
Starkly different to the overlapping ComRes poll, Ipsos MORI find a large SNP majority, grim results for Labour, and the highest support for Independence yet seen. […]
By-elections
Craigentinny/Duddingston (Edinburgh) By-Election, 12/11/2020
Prompted by an SNP resignation, re-calculating 2017 has Labour close behind. Given each party’s current polling, odds are on the SNP coming out on top. […]