Poll Analysis: Norstat 9th – 12th of April 2024
An especially weak poll for the SNP also comes with surprising Labour slumps, with a perhaps rather unbelievable gain for the Lib Dems as a counterbalance. […]
An especially weak poll for the SNP also comes with surprising Labour slumps, with a perhaps rather unbelievable gain for the Lib Dems as a counterbalance. […]
The first BBS-tracked poll in two months will be difficult reading for both the SNP and Conservatives, whilst giving Labour reasons to be cheerful, and suggesting some perhaps exaggeratedly high Reform UK shares. […]
Ipsos continue to show generally better figures for the SNP and Independence than other pollsters, but also follow the clear trend of a narrowing gap between the SNP and Labour contrasted with almost no movement on the constitution. […]
A second January poll covering the same dates gives almost identical results, though with the strongest Labour seat projection since BBS was launched in 2018. […]
The first BBS Standard Series poll of 2024 brings a new name for an old friend, suggesting a particularly tricky distribution of seats at Holyrood and yet a straight tie on the big constitutional question. […]
Context Yesterday morning (16th of January), a big data drop nerds across the country have been waiting for finally happened: the official Rallings and Thrasher compiled “notionals” for the 2019 UK General Election, if it had instead been fought on […]
An unexpectedly chaotic year for the SNP started with Nicola Sturgeon’s shock resignation, and ends with Labour nipping at their heels in both parliaments. […]
Ipsos continue to paint a slightly different picture to other pollsters, with higher support for the SNP leading to a continued SNP-Green majority at Holyrood, and a lead for Independence. The Lib Dems end up the big Holyrood gainers in this poll, whilst it’s bad news all round for the Conservatives. […]
The third and final Scoop of 2023 continues to show a very strong Labour performance at Westminster, whilst the SNP’s Holyrood lead withers to almost nothing. The constitutional question is also a lot less closely run than in other recent polls, sitting at status quo 2014. […]
The first fully post-Rutherglen poll has everything – Holyrood, Westminster and the Constitution – on an absolute knife edge, though in seat terms both parliaments would be headed for a significant Pro-Union parties majority. […]
Copyright © Allan Faulds (Ballot Box Scotland) 2022