Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis: YouGov 2nd – 6th of October 2023
After a run of stubborn SNP-Green majorities, YouGov finally join the rest of the polling pack with vote shares suggestive of a majority for the Pro-Union bloc. […]
Westminster
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 2nd – 5th of October 2023
A bruising weak for the SNP continues with another poll where the Holyrood advantage goes clearly to Labour, whilst the constitutional question remains (to nobody’s surprise) stubbornly close. […]
By-elections
By-Election Result: Rutherglen and Hamilton West
Labour absolutely romp home in a stunning victory that leaves the SNP badly bruised in the face of a massive majority and steep swing against them. […]
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis (Lite): Opinium 4th -14th of September 2023
This is a lite analysis piece to ensure a poll with delayed publication at a time I’m very busy and about to take a break doesn’t fall off the BBS record entirely. […]
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis: YouGov 8th – 13th of September 2023
A surprising slide for Labour may have the SNP breathing a sigh of relief, but one poll does not a trend make, so stay tuned for further evidence. […]
By-elections
By-Election Preview: Rutherglen and Hamilton West (UK Parliament) 5th of October 2023
The long saga of Rutherglen and Hamilton West finally draws to a close with a by-election that couldn’t come at a worse time for the SNP – or a better time for Labour. […]
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis: Survation 15th – 18th of August 2023
Labour’s best poll by every measure since the Independence referendum will be unwelcome reading for the SNP, whilst the Conservatives suffer their own mid-term blues as the pollster takes a flight of fancy with Reform UK. […]
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis: YouGov 3rd – 8th of August 2023
A mild recovery for the SNP will be a welcome breather for that party, suggesting they could easily continue their current government with the Greens. Labour nonetheless have one of their best performances in years, coming largely at the expense of a slump for the Conservatives. […]
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis: Survation 23rd – 28th of June 2023
If you were expecting the bad polling news to continue for the SNP, you would be correct. Labour continue to inch closer to first place on all votes, whilst Independence support also takes a slight dip. […]
Boundary Reviews
Westminster Boundary Review 2023: Finally, the End
After two aborted reviews and two rounds of redrawing for this third review, it looks like Scotland is getting new UK Parliament Constituencies. This piece takes a quick look over these final proposals. […]