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April 2, 2023
Home2023February

Month: February 2023

By-elections

By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone

February 27, 2023 Ballot Box Scotland Comments Off on By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone

The first by-election of 2023 gives the SNP a spook to start the year, recording their worst share yet in this ward, as a Labour surge into second place on first preferences set the stage for an easy win following transfer rounds. […]

Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: YouGov 17th – 20th of February 2023

February 25, 2023 Ballot Box Scotland Comments Off on Poll Analysis: YouGov 17th – 20th of February 2023

A third poll following Sturgeon’s surprise resignation contains good tidings for the Pro-Union side of the constitutional divide, whilst still suggesting the re-election of the SNP-Green government despite a narrowing vote. […]

Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 15th – 17th of February 2023

February 23, 2023 Ballot Box Scotland Comments Off on Poll Analysis: Survation 15th – 17th of February 2023

A second poll with identical fieldwork immediately following Sturgeon’s resignation finds, perhaps oddly, the SNP up and Greens down, whilst Labour continue to poll their strongest in years on the list vote. […]

Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Savanta 15th – 17th of February 2023

February 20, 2023 Ballot Box Scotland Comments Off on Poll Analysis: Savanta 15th – 17th of February 2023

The first of two polls with identical fieldwork conducted right after the First Minister announced her resignation shows very little change for the SNP, but enough growth from Labour to knock the SNP down to their joint-worst seat projection of the term, whilst the Greens have their best. […]

Polling and Projections

Scoop Analysis: YouGov 10th – 15th of February 2023

February 19, 2023 Ballot Box Scotland Comments Off on Scoop Analysis: YouGov 10th – 15th of February 2023

The last poll out before Sturgeon’s shock resignation was itself quite dramatic, giving only the barest Holyrood majority for the SNP-Green government, and a stunningly high share for Labour at Westminster. […]

Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 1st – 7th of February 2023

February 18, 2023 Ballot Box Scotland Comments Off on Poll Analysis: Survation 1st – 7th of February 2023

The earliest of three polls that all dropped within hours, a term-worst projection for the SNP is counterbalanced by Green gains, whilst Labour begin to close in on constituencies and the constitutional question remains stalemated. […]

By-elections

By-Election Preview: Dunblane and Bridge of Allan (Stirling) 16th of March 2023

February 14, 2023 Ballot Box Scotland Comments Off on By-Election Preview: Dunblane and Bridge of Allan (Stirling) 16th of March 2023

The sad passing of an SNP councillor has triggered what could be a real nailbiter of a by-election, with both SNP and Conservatives in contention. […]

Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: YouGov 23rd – 26th of January 2023

February 8, 2023 Ballot Box Scotland Comments Off on Poll Analysis: YouGov 23rd – 26th of January 2023

First non-Survation poll of the year shows a snapping back to a Pro-Union lead, YouGov-worsts this term for SNP and Greens, best Labour seat projection since election, and improbably strong Alba and Reform UK figures that make the hypothetical projections quite distinct. […]

By-elections

By-Election Preview: Corstorphine and Murrayfield (Edinburgh) 9th of March 2023

February 6, 2023 Ballot Box Scotland Comments Off on By-Election Preview: Corstorphine and Murrayfield (Edinburgh) 9th of March 2023

The departure of a dissatisfied SNP councillor opens the door for the Lib Dems to take complete control of this ward. […]

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