By-elections
By-Election Result: Central Buchan
The Conservatives pull off a strong victory in a by-election notable for the surprising absence of Alba, despite this ward being home to the now-late Alex Salmond. […]
Month: November 2024
By-elections
By-Election Result: Fraserburgh and District
A Conservative consolation prize for the humbling of Douglas Ross at the General Election, but with a swing towards the SNP and a strong – but not unanticipatedly so – result for Reform UK. […]
By-elections
By-Election Result: Inverclyde West
Labour manage an expected win, but experience a surprising swing to the SNP after transfers are counted, whilst Alba record their best ever result thus far. […]
By-elections
By-Election Result: Elgin City South
A big upset, as the most Labour-friendly town in the north east of Scotland experiences a big Lib Dem surge, leading to the Conservatives pipping the SNP for the seat […]
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis: Norstat 30th of October – 1st of November 2024
Labour’s rocky start in Downing Street continues with some steep declines in this poll, putting the SNP comfortably ahead of them on all votes, whilst the constitutional question returns a straight tie. […]
By-elections
By-Election Preview: Stirling East (Stirling) 5th of December 2024
A Labour vacancy in a ward the SNP won in 2022 will prove a much tougher ask for them to hold on compared to many other recent results, but the balance of transfers is likely to favour them. […]
By-elections
By-Election Preview: Partick East and Kelvindale (Glasgow) 5th of December 2024
The sad passing of local SNP stalwart triggers a perhaps appropriately quiet by-election that’s pretty much certain to go Labour’s way, with the Green and Conservative vote shares probably most worth watching. […]