The sad passing of a local Labour stalwart triggers one of the most interesting council by-elections yet, the first time Ballot Box Scotland has predicted the Greens as the most likely winners. […]
A bonus longer read takes a look at proposals to reform the Senedd Cymru, as part of a somewhat less fraught Welsh approach to constitutional reform. […]
A second January poll covering the same dates gives almost identical results, though with the strongest Labour seat projection since BBS was launched in 2018. […]
In what is hopefully the last vote in Dunblane and Bridge of Allan until 2027, the Conservatives emerge with an expected victory, whilst Labour surge to their second best share yet. […]
The first BBS Standard Series poll of 2024 brings a new name for an old friend, suggesting a particularly tricky distribution of seats at Holyrood and yet a straight tie on the big constitutional question. […]
An SNP-caused vacancy in one of the strongest Conservative wards in Scotland can only go one way – Conservative. […]
Context Yesterday morning (16th of January), a big data drop nerds across the country have been waiting for finally happened: the official Rallings and Thrasher compiled “notionals” for the 2019 UK General Election, if it had instead been fought on […]
Though the polls included in the BBS average may slightly exaggerate support for Independence, however you slice it support for that option is running ahead of support for the parties advocating it. This could have interesting consequences down the line. […]
An unexpectedly chaotic year for the SNP started with Nicola Sturgeon’s shock resignation, and ends with Labour nipping at their heels in both parliaments. […]
2023’s Annual Reviews are slightly later than the past couple of years, falling in the hazy lull in between Christmas and New Year, after I got burned with late poll releases both years. However unless someone is holding back a […]
Copyright © Allan Faulds (Ballot Box Scotland) 2022