Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke
Na h-Eileanan an Iar
North Ayrshire and Arran
North East Fife
Orkney and Shetland
Paisley and Renfrewshire North
Paisley and Renfrewshire South
Perth and Kinross-shire
Rutherglen
Stirling and Strathallan
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine
West Dunbartonshire
Notes on 2019 Notional Results
Vote share changes are versus 2019 notionals compiled by Professors Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher on behalf of BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association. Calculations for Scotland done by Professor David Denver, those for Northern Ireland by Nicholas Whyte.
Due to the fact neither the Greens nor the Brexit Party (now known as Reform UK) stood in every constituency, unlike the four Westminster parties their notional vote shares do not necessarily reflect their “true” 2019 results. This is because within each new constituency, only the chunk of it coming from a constituency (or constituencies) that these parties contested will have any votes associated with them.
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: John Grady (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 3784 (10.7%)
Electorate: 68987
Turnout: 51.6%
Valid: 35445 (99.6%)
Spoiled: 143 (0.4%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: David Linden
đź”´Labour: John Grady
🔵Conservative: Thomas Kerr
đźź Lib Dem: Matthew Clark
🟢Green: Amy Kettyles
🟣Reform UK: Donnie McLeod
🟤SSP: Liam McLaughlan
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Martin Rhodes (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 3539 (10.2%)
Electorate: 67579
Turnout: 51.7%
Valid: 34739 (99.5%)
Spoiled: 166 (0.5%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Alison Thewliss
đź”´Labour: Martin Rhodes
🔵Conservative: Naveed Asghar
đźź Lib Dem: Daniel O’Malley
🟢Green: Iris Duane
âš«Alba: Nick Durie
🟣Reform UK: Helen Burns
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Maureen Burke (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 4637 (13.6%)
Electorate: 72610
Turnout: 47.1%
Valid: 34091 (99.8%)
Spoiled: 81 (0.2%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Anne McLaughlin
đź”´Labour: Maureen Burke
🔵Conservative: Robert Connelly
đźź Lib Dem: Sheila Thomson
🟢Green: Ewan Lewis
âš«Alba: Catherine McKernan
🟣Reform UK: Jonathan Walsmley
🟤TUSC: Chris Sermanni
🟤Communist: Gary Steele
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Gordon McKee (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 4154 (9.8%)
Electorate: 70219
Turnout: 60.6%
Valid: 42378 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 144 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Stewart McDonald
đź”´Labour: Gordon McKee
🔵Conservative: Haroun Malik
đźź Lib Dem: Peter McLaughlin
🟢Green: Niall Christie
âš«Alba: Dhruva Kumar
🟣Reform UK: Danny Raja
🟤TUSC: Brian Smith
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Zubir Ahmed (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 3285 (9.2%)
Electorate: 68871
Turnout: 51.9%
Valid: 35669 (99.9%)
Spoiled: 51 (0.1%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Chris Stephens
đź”´Labour: Zubir Ahmed
🔵Conservative: Mamum Ur Rashid
đźź Lib Dem: Paul McGarry
🟢Green: John Hamelink
âš«Alba: Tony Osy
🟣Reform UK: Morag McRae
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Patricia Ferguson (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 6446 (16.2%)
Electorate: 69028
Turnout: 58.1%
Valid: 39902 (99.5%)
Spoiled: 186 (0.5%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Carol Monaghan
đź”´Labour: Patricia Ferguson
🔵Conservative: Faten Hameed
đźź Lib Dem: James Calder
🟢Green: Nick Quail
🟣Reform UK: Dionne Moore
🟤Christian: Jack Cormack
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Richard Baker (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 2954 (8.2%)
Electorate: 70655
Turnout: 51.3%
Valid: 36139 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 124 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: John Beare
đź”´Labour: Richard Baker
🔵Conservative: Debbie McAllum
đźź Lib Dem: Jill Reilley
🟣Reform UK: Ian Smith
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
🔵Conservative: Harriet Cross (HOLD)
Majority: 878 (2.0%)
Electorate: 69605
Turnout: 63.2%
Valid: 43848 (99.6%)
Spoiled: 166 (0.4%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Richard Thomson
đź”´Labour: Nurul Hoque Ali
🔵Conservative: Harriet Cross
đźź Lib Dem: Conrad Wood
🟣Reform UK: Kris Callander
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Imogen Walker (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 9472 (22.5%)
Electorate: 75480
Turnout: 56.0%
Valid: 42084 (99.6%)
Spoiled: 183 (0.4%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Ross Clark
đź”´Labour: Imogen Walker
🔵Conservative: Richard Nelson
đźź Lib Dem: Kyle Burns
🟣Reform UK: Lisa Judge
🟤UKIP: Christopher Ho
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Martin McCluskey (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 6371 (15.8%)
Electorate: 70126
Turnout: 57.7%
Valid: 40350 (99.8%)
Spoiled: 101 (0.2%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Ronnie Cowan
đź”´Labour: Martin McCluskey
🔵Conservative: Ted Runciman
đźź Lib Dem: Ross Stalker
🟢Green: Iain Adams
âš«Alba: Christopher McEleney
🟣Reform UK: Simon Moorehead
Independent: John Burleigh
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đźź Lib Dem: Angus MacDonald (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 2160 (4.5%)
Electorate: 77927
Turnout: 61.9%
Valid: 48056 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 168 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Drew Hendry
đź”´Labour: Michael Perera
🔵Conservative: Ruaridh Stewart
đźź Lib Dem: Angus MacDonald
🟢Green: Peter Newman
🟣Reform UK: Dillan Hill
🟤Socialist Equality: Darren Paxton
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Lillian Jones (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 5119 (12.1%)
Electorate: 74628
Turnout: 57.1%
Valid: 42478 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 134 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Alan Brown
đź”´Labour: Lillian Jones
🔵Conservative: Jordan Cowie
đźź Lib Dem: Edward Thornley
🟢Green: Bex Glen
🟣Reform UK: William ThomsonIndependent: Stephen McNamara
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Gregor Poynton (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 3528 (7.9%)
Electorate: 78043
Turnout: 57.6%
Valid: 44840 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 121 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Hannah Bardell
đź”´Labour: Gregor Poynton
🔵Conservative: Damian Timson
đźź Lib Dem: Caron Lindsay
🟢Green: Cameron Glasgow
âš«Alba: Debbie Ewen
🟣Reform UK: David McLennan
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Douglas Alexander (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 13265 (27.6%)
Electorate: 75456
Turnout: 63.9%
Valid: 48102 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 132 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
SNP: Lyn Jardine
đź”´Labour: Douglas Alexander
🔵Conservative: Scott Hamilton
đźź Lib Dem: Duncan Dunlop
🟢Green: Shona McIntosh
âš«Alba: George Kerevan
🟣Reform UK: Robert Davies
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đźź Lib Dem: Susan Murray (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 9673 (18.3%)
Electorate: 73603
Turnout: 71.8%
Valid: 52738 (99.8%)
Spoiled: 132 (0.2%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Amy Callaghan
đź”´Labour: Lorna Dougall
🔵Conservative: Alix Mathieson
đźź Lib Dem: Susan Murray
🟢Green: Carolynn Scrimgeour
âš«Alba: Ray James
🟣Reform UK: David McNabb
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Kirsty McNeill (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 8167 (18.5%)
Electorate: 73554
Turnout: 60.3%
Valid: 44165 (99.6%)
Spoiled: 162 (0.4%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Owen Thompson
đź”´Labour: Kirsty McNeill
🔵Conservative: Keith Cockburn
đźź Lib Dem: Ross Laird
🟣Reform UK: Stefan Garbowski
🟤Libertarian: Daniel Fraser
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
🟡SNP: Graham Leadbitter (HOLD)
Majority: 1001 (2.2%)
Electorate: 77243
Turnout: 60.5%
Valid: 46554 (99.6%)
Spoiled: 167 (0.4%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Graham Leadbitter
đź”´Labour: James Hynam
🔵Conservative: Kathleen Robertson
đźź Lib Dem: Neil Alexander
🟢Green: Draeyk van der Horn
🟣Reform UK: Steve Skerret
🟤Family: Euan Morrice
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Pamela Nash (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 7085 (18.2%)
Electorate: 71777
Turnout: 54.5%
Valid: 39026 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 125 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Marion Fellows
đź”´Labour: Pamela Nash
🔵Conservative: Oyebola Ajala
đźź Lib Dem: Hayley Bennie
🟢Green: Gordon Miller
🟣Reform UK: Robert McLaughlan
🟤UKIP: Neil Wilson
🟤British Unionist: Gus Ferguson
🟤Libertarian: Ross Hagen
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Torcuil Crichton (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 3836 (28.4%)
Electorate: 21325
Turnout: 63.7%
Valid: 13528 (99.6%)
Spoiled: 53 (0.4%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Susan Thomson
đź”´Labour: Torcuil Crichton
🔵Conservative: Kenny Barker
đźź Lib Dem: Jamie Dobson
🟣Reform UK: Tony Ridden
🟤Family: Steven Welsh
🟤Christian: Donald BoydIndependent: Angus MacNeil
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Irene Campbell (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 3551 (8.4%)
Electorate: 72176
Turnout: 58.8%
Valid: 42262 (99.6%)
Spoiled: 161 (0.4%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Patricia Gibson
đź”´Labour: Irene Campbell
🔵Conservative: Todd Ferguson
đźź Lib Dem: Gillian Cole-Hamilton
🟢Green: Cara McKee
🟣Reform UK: Mike Mann
🟤Social Democratic: Ian Gibson
🟤Socialist Labour: James McDaid
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đźź Lib Dem: Wendy Chamberlain (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 13479 (31.5%)
Electorate: 69762
Turnout: 61.5%
Valid: 42728 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 147 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Stefan Hogan-Radu
đź”´Labour: Jennifer Gallagher
🔵Conservative: Bill Bowman
đźź Lib Dem: Wendy Chamberlain
🟢Green: Morven Ovenstone-Jones
🟣Reform UK: Matthew Wren
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đźź Lib Dem: Alistair Carmichael (HOLD)
Majority: 7807 (37.7%)
Electorate: 34236
Turnout: 60.7%
Valid: 20688 (99.5%)
Spoiled: 106 (0.5%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Robert Leslie
đź”´Labour: Conor Savage
🔵Conservative: Shane Painter
đźź Lib Dem: Alistair Carmichael
🟢Green: Alex Armitage
🟣Reform UK: Robert Smith
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Alison Taylor (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 6333 (15.3%)
Electorate: 71103
Turnout: 58.6%
Valid: 41519 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 144 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Gavin Newlands
đź”´Labour: Alison Taylor
🔵Conservative: David McGonigle
đźź Lib Dem: Grant Toghill
🟢Green: Jen Bell
🟣Reform UK: Andrew Scott
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Johanna Baxter (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 6527 (15.8%)
Electorate: 71574
Turnout: 57.9%
Valid: 41283 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 133 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Jacqueline Cameron
đź”´Labour: Johanna Baxter
🔵Conservative: Alec Leishman
đźź Lib Dem: Jack Clark
🟢Green: Athol Bond
🟣Reform UK: Jim McIlroy
🟤Freedom Alliance: Mark TurnbillIndependent: Paul Mack
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
🟡SNP: Pete Wishart (HOLD)
Majority: 4127 8.22%)
Electorate: 77261
Turnout: 65.0%
Valid: 50077 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 142 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Pete Wishart
đź”´Labour: Graham Cox
🔵Conservative: Luke Graham
đźź Lib Dem: Amanda Clark
🟣Reform UK: Helen McDadeIndependent: Sally Hughes
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Michael Shanks
Majority: 8767 (20.6%)
Electorate: 72674
Turnout: 58.6%
Valid: 42484 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 129 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Katy Loudon
đź”´Labour: Michael Shanks
🔵Conservative: Gary Burns
đźź Lib Dem: Gloria Adebo
âš«Alba: Jim Eadie
🟣Reform UK: David Stark
🟤Family: John McArthur
🟤SSP: Bill BonnarIndependent: Andrew Daly
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Chris Kane (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 1394 (2.8%)
Electorate: 76284
Turnout: 65.6%
Valid: 49782 (99.5%)
Spoiled: 242 (0.5%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Alyn Smith
đź”´Labour: Chris Kane
🔵Conservative: Neil Benny
đźź Lib Dem: Hamish Taylor
🟢Green: Andrew Adam
🟣Reform UK: Bill McDonald
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
🔵Conservative: Andrew Bowie (HOLD)
Majority: 3441 (7.0%)
Electorate: 72994
Turnout: 67.3%
Valid: 48958 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 161 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Glen Reynolds
đź”´Labour: Kate Blake
🔵Conservative: Andrew Bowie
đźź Lib Dem: Michael Turvey
🟢Green: William Linegar
🟣Reform UK: Brandon InnesIndependent: Iris LeaskIndependent: David Neill
2024 Result
Key Details
Winner:
đź”´Labour: Douglas McAllister (GAIN from SNP)
Majority: 6010 (15.2%)
Electorate: 69074
Turnout: 57.5%
Valid: 39584 (99.7%)
Spoiled: 123 (0.3%)
2024 Candidates
🟡SNP: Martin Docherty-Hughes
đź”´Labour: Douglas McAllister
🔵Conservative: Maurice Corry
đźź Lib Dem: Paul Kennedy
🟢Green: Paula Baker
🟣Reform UK: David Smith
🟤Family: Andrew Muir
🟤Sovereignty: Kelly Wilson