Annual Reviews

A statistical tie between constitutional camps for an annual review? Groundbreaking.

Another year, another slight Independence lead in Winter rooted more in what polls are in the average than a meaningful increase in support. Even as it slips down the agenda however, the constitutional question hasn’t gone away, and both sides have much to do to bring it to a conclusion.

Though the polls included in the BBS average may slightly exaggerate support for Independence, however you slice it support for that option is running ahead of support for the parties advocating it. This could have interesting consequences down the line.

Scotland continues to go through unsettled constitutional times, as the year concludes with Independence in the lead following the Supreme Court judgement. There are challenges enough to go around for both sides on this front, as Scots oppose a “de facto referendum” yet think the Scottish Government should be able to call a real one.