Contents

Overall 2022 Result

Council-Wide Results

A bit of a surprise from South Ayrshire this year, as the SNP took a narrow lead in votes. This is the first time the Conservatives, who experienced a chunky negative swing, haven’t been the most popular party since STV was introduced. That didn’t lead to any more SNP seats however, as they remained on 9. The Conservatives therefore still ended up the largest party on the council, though with a net loss of two seats leaving them with 10.

Similar to the SNP, although Labour made small gains in votes, they didn’t get any more councillors across the line, still on the same 5 as previously. The Conservative losses thus went directly to Independents, with two more elected this time, for a bloc of 4. One of those, Hugh Hunter in Prestwick, had served as a Conservative councillor for 22 years but wasn’t reselected by his party. He then went on to win almost as many votes as the Conservatives did! As with all Ayrshire councils, only very minor presence from the smaller parties. Notably this is one of only two council areas the Greens didn’t stand any candidates at all.

Administration

After the election, and contrary to initial reports, a Conservative minority administration was formed. The administration also received the support of two Independents, Hugh Hunter and Bob Shields, though it does not appear they will form part of it.

Interactive Map

Overview

As with its northern counterpart, this one is a simple renaming of what was an existing 70’s reform District, in this case Kyle and Carrick. In addition to Ayr itself, and the beach almost every wean in the west of Scotland is familiar with, the council includes the neighbouring towns of Prestwick and Troon to the north. The Carrick portion is much larger and much more rural, with the main population centres at Girvan and Maybole. Ayr and its attendant towns have historically been notably more affluent than the rest of the county, though by no means universally so.

The relative affluence of the urban core of this area was reflected in the consistent election of Conservative MPs to Westminster for various iterations of the Ayr constituency until Labour finally won it in 1997. However, the Holyrood equivalent would become the first constituency the Conservatives ever won for that parliament, gaining it at the first ever by-election in 2000. The SNP gained the Carrick-inclusive Holyrood constituency in 2011 and the Westminster seats in 2015. They lost the one covering the bulk of the area to the Conservatives in 2017 then regained it in 2019, and in 2021 picked up Ayr itself in the Scottish Parliament.

Turning to the old District council, it had solid Conservative majorities for the first two elections, then they traded off with Labour each election for the following four. Labour then won the first two for the rebranded South Ayrshire, and the final FPTP vote saw a straight tie between the two. This area was such a Labour-Conservative battleground that, in the absence of PR, only two of the nine elections elected any councillors from outwith those two parties.

Previous STV Elections

2007
2012
2017

Individual Ward Results

Troon (Ward 1)

Councillors and Key Stats

4 Councillors, in order elected:
🟡SNP: Craig MacKay
🔴Labour: Philip Saxton
🔵Conservative: Bob Pollock
🔵Conservative: Kenneth Bell
Change vs 2017: No change
Turnout: 54.6%
Electorate: 13025
Valid: 6979 (98.2%)
Spoiled: 128 (1.8%)
Quota: 1396

Candidates

🔵Conservative: Kenneth Bell
🟠Lib Dem: Judith Godden
🔵Conservative: Rose Hall
⚪Independent: Linda Lunan
🟡SNP: Craig MacKay
🟡SNP: Annie McIndoe
🔵Conservative: Bob Pollock
🔴Labour: Philip Saxton

Troon: First Preferences
Troon: Transfers
Troon: Results by Polling District
Troon: Second Preferences
Troon: Two-Candidate Preferred

Prestwick (Ward 2)

Councillors and Key Stats

4 Councillors, in order elected:
🟡SNP: Ian Cochrane
⚪Independent: Hugh Hunter
🔵Conservative: Martin Kilbride
🔴Labour: Cameron Ramsay
Change vs 2017: +1 Independent, -1 Conservative (Hugh Hunter elected as Conservative in 2017)
Turnout: 54.0%
Electorate: 12507
Valid: 6642 (98.4%)
Spoiled: 107 (1.6%)
Quota: 1329

Candidates

⚫Alba: John Caddis
🟡SNP: Ian Cochrane
⚪Independent: Hugh Hunter
🔵Conservative: Martin Kilbride
🔵Conservative: Owen North
🔴Labour: Cameron Ramsay
🟡SNP: Norrie Smith
🔵Conservative: Derek Stillie

Prestwick: First Preferences
Prestwick: Transfers
Prestwick: Results by Polling District
Prestwick: Second Preferences
Prestwick: Two-Candidate Preferred
Prestwick: Two-Party Preferred

Ayr North (Ward 3)

Councillors and Key Stats

4 Councillors, in order elected:
🟡SNP: Laura Brennan-Whitefield
🔴Labour: Ian Cavana
🟡SNP: Mark Dixon
🔵Conservative: Ian Davis
Change vs 2017: No change
Turnout: 39.2%
Electorate: 12973
Valid: 4921 (96.7%)
Spoiled: 166 (3.3%)
Quota: 985

Candidates

🟡SNP: Laura Brennan-Whitefield
🔴Labour: Ian Cavana
🔵Conservative: Ian Davis
🟡SNP: Mark Dixon
🟠Lib Dem: Mason Graham
🔵Conservative: David Paterson
⚪Independent: Andrew Russell
⚫Alba: Denise Sommerville

Ayr North: First Preferences
Ayr North: Transfers
Ayr North: Results by Polling District
Ayr North: Second Preferences
Ayr North: Two-Candidate Preferred

Ayr East (Ward 4)

Councillors and Key Stats

3 Councillors, in order elected:
🟡SNP: Chris Cullen
🔵Conservative: Mary Kilpatrick
🔴Labour: Brian McGinley
Change vs 2017: No change
Electorate: 10276
Turnout: 49.0%
Valid: 4936 (98.1%)
Spoiled: 95 (1.9%)
Quota: 1235

Candidates

⚪Independent: Chic Brodie
⚪Independent: Andrew Bryden
🟡SNP: Chris Cullen
🟡SNP: Ian Douglas
🟠Lib Dem: Deirdre Kennedy
🔵Conservative: Mary Kilpatrick
🔵Conservative: Alan Lamont
🔴Labour: Brian McGinley
⚪Independent: David Ramsay

Ayr East: First Preferences
Ayr East: Transfers
Ayr East: Results by Polling District
Ayr East: Second Preferences
Ayr East: Two-Candidate Preferred

Ayr West (Ward 5)

Councillors and Key Stats

4 Councillors, in order elected:
🔵Conservative: Martin Dowey
⚪Independent: Bob Shields
🟡SNP: George Weir
🔵Conservative: Lee Lyons
Change vs 2017: +1 Independent, -1 Conservative
Turnout: 58.5%
Electorate: 14541
Valid: 8369 (98.4%)
Spoiled: 133 (1.6%)
Quota: 1674

Candidates

🟣Family: Gordon Bryce
🔵Conservative: Martin Dowey
🔴Labour: John Duncan
🔵Conservative: Lee Lyons
🔵Conservative: Derek McCabe
🟠Lib Dem: Jamie Ross
⚪Independent: Bob Shields
🟡SNP: George Weir
🟡SNP: Margaret Weir

Ayr West: First Preferences
Ayr West: Transfers
Ayr West: Results by Polling District
Ayr West: Second Preferences
Ayr West: Two-Candidate Preferred
Ayr West: Two-Party Preferred

Kyle (Ward 6)

Councillors and Key Stats

3 Councillors, in order elected:
🟡SNP: Julie Dettbarn
🔴Labour: Duncan Townson
🔵Conservative: Stephen Ferry
Change vs 2017: No change
Turnout: 45.9%
Electorate: 10625
Valid: 4820 (98.8%)
Spoiled: 57 (1.2%)
Quota: 1206

Candidates

🟠Lib Dem: John Aitken
⚫Alba: Geoff Bush
🟡SNP: Julie Dettbarn
🔵Conservative: Stephen Ferry
🔵Conservative: Arthur Spurling
🔴Labour: Duncan Townson

Kyle: First Preferences
Kyle: Transfers
Kyle: Results by Polling District
Kyle: Second Preferences
Kyle: Two-Candidate Preferred

Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton (Ward 7)

Councillors and Key Stats

3 Councillors, in order elected:
🟡SNP: William Grant
🔵Conservative: Iain Campbell
⚪Independent: Brian Connolly
Change vs 2017: No change
Turnout: 46.8%
Electorate: 9316
Valid: 4282 (98.3%)
Spoiled: 74 (1.7%)
Quota: 1071

Candidates

🔵Conservative: Iain Campbell
⚪Independent: Brian Connolly
🟡SNP: William Grant
🔵Conservative: Laura McEwan
🟠Lib Dem: Stephen Ralph
🔴Labour: Nicola Saxton

Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton: First Preferences
Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton: Transfers
Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton: Results by Polling District
Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton: Second Preferences
Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton: Two-Candidate Preferred

Girvan and South Carrick (Ward 8)

Councillors and Key Stats

3 Councillors, in order elected:
⚪Independent: Alec Clark
🟡SNP: Peter Henderson
🔵Conservative: Gavin Scott
Change vs 2017: No change
Turnout: 46.7%
Electorate: 8849
Valid: 4056 (98.2%)
Spoiled: 75 (1.8%)
Quota: 1015

Candidates

⚪Independent: Alec Clark
🔴Labour: Aaron Gilpin
🟡SNP: Peter Henderson
🔵Conservative: Linda Kane
⚪Independent: Todor Radic
🔵Conservative: Gavin Scott
⚫Alba: Eileen Spence

Girvan and South Carrick: First Preferences
Girvan and South Carrick: Transfers
Girvan and South Carrick: Results by Polling District
Girvan and South Carrick: Second Preferences
Girvan and South Carrick: Two-Candidate Preferred
Girvan and South Carrick: Two-Party Preferred

Data Notes

Changes in Affiliation

Chris Cullen (Ayr East), from 🟡SNP to ⚫Alba; defected in October 2023.

Mark Dixon (Ayr North), from 🟡SNP to ⚪Independent; left the SNP without announcement at some point in late 2023 or early 2024. According to his Facebook he joined the 🟢Greens, however that party do not allow defecting representatives to formally sit under the party’s banner.

By-Elections

Girvan and South Carrick (Ward 8) - 21st of September 2023

Councillors and Key Stats

1 Councillor Elected:
🔵Conservative: Alan Lamont
Change vs 2022 (notional): Conservative gain from SNP
Change vs vacating: Conservative gain from SNP
Turnout: 32.4% (-14.3)
Electorate: 8,653
Valid: 2770 (98.1%)
Spoiled: 32 (1.1%)
Quota: 1386
2 Continuing Councillors:
⚪Independent: Alec Clark
🔵Conservative: Gavin Scott

Candidates

🔵Conservative: Alan Lamont
🟡SNP: Joseph McLaughlin
🟠Lib Dem: Jamie Ross
🔴Labour: Nicola Saxton
⚫Alba: Denise Sommerville

Girvan and South Carrick By-Election: Context

SNP councillor Peter Henderson announced his retirement for health reasons in June 2023, triggering a by-election for September. Note that as this by-election was counted by hand, no detailed data is available.
Read the BBS pre-election preview here.
Read the BBS results analysis here.

Girvan and South Carrick By-Election: First Preferences
Girvan and South Carrick By-Election: Transfers
Girvan and South Carrick By-Election: Two-Candidate Preferred