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UK General Election 2024

GE24: Mayhem in the Marginals
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24: Mayhem in the Marginals

Marginality has meant next to nothing in Scotland at recent elections, and so it proved again this year. That caveat in mind for future, what seats ended up most closely run this time around?

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 8, 2024July 8, 2024
GE24: Shares and Swings are Fascinating Things
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24: Shares and Swings are Fascinating Things

A deep-dive into some of the results below the headlines, including where each party did best and worst, and what that might mean for other elections coming up.

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 7, 2024July 7, 2024
GE24: The Headline Results
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24: The Headline Results

It’s all change in Scotland at this election, as Labour experienced a stunning revival that almost completely restored their pre-referendum glory, whilst the SNP collapsed into single-digit seats, the Conservatives barely clung on, and the Lib Dems overachieved.

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 6, 2024June 19, 2026
GE24: Final Predictions and Estimates
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24: Final Predictions and Estimates

Hard as it is to believe, polling day is finally here. If you’d told me just … GE24: Final Predictions and EstimatesRead more

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 4, 2024July 4, 2024
GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 5-1
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 5-1

The fourth and final entry in the Ballot Box Battlegrounds series for this election covers Perth and Kinross-shire; Mid Dunbartonshire; Dumfries and Galloway; West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine; and North East Fife.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 20, 2024June 19, 2024
GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 9-6
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 9-6

The third entry in the Ballot Box Battlegrounds series for this election covers Aberdeenshire North and Moray East; Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey; Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock; and Lothian East.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 19, 2024June 19, 2024
GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 13-10
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 13-10

The second entry in the Ballot Box Battlegrounds series for this election covers Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy; Gordon and Buchan; Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross; and Edinburgh West.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 18, 2024June 17, 2024
GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 17-14
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 17-14

The first entry in the Ballot Box Battlegrounds series for this election covers East Renfrewshire; Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk; Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber; and Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 17, 2024June 17, 2024
GE24 Party Profile: Reform UK(IP)
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24 Party Profile: Reform UK(IP)

Reform UK, the artists formerly known as the Brexit Party, a spin-off from UKIP, are simply not going to have the impact in Scotland they will in England. They are nonetheless standing everywhere, and worth keeping an eye on.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 15, 2024June 15, 2024
GE24 Party Profile: Scottish Green Party
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24 Party Profile: Scottish Green Party

The Greens aren’t going to win anything at this election, being the only non-proportional vote in Scotland, but they are standing the most candidates they ever have for Westminster.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 14, 2024June 14, 2024

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    Larkhall is a slightly special case, but one of the bits I pick up in here is that whilst Reform beat the SNP and Labour came third, Labour would have beaten both the SNP (by 2%) and Reform (by 2.3%) in a head-to-head, because they were more transfer-attractive here than either party.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    By-Election Result: Larkhall

    Reform win their second ever by-election by displacing Labour in one of the most staunchly Pro-Union parts of the country.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Larkhall (South Lanarkshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    Reform UK: 1150 (35.2%, new)
    SNP: 975 (29.9%, +1.0)
    Labour: 799 (24.5%, -8.5)
    Conservative: 342 (10.5%, -14)

    Reform UK elected stage 4.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    I don't know why councils occasionally do this. It's not legal to get up on stage and go "The winning candidate won this many votes, now go away until tomorrow if you want anyone else's figures", so why are they not taking the few extra seconds to add everyone's votes or a photo of the declaration?
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-election underway for South Lanarkshire's Larkhall ward. After having failed one test last week, this is another key test of Reform's electability in a very different type of area they would expect to do well in. If they can't pull off a win, it'll almost certainly be Labour instead.
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