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By-elections

By-Election Result: Bellshill
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  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Bellshill

The first by-election since Humza Yousaf took office came under dire circumstances both nationally and locally, leading to exactly the easy Labour victory I’d predicted.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 20, 2023June 21, 2023
By-Election Preview: East Kilbride West (South Lanarkshire) 6th of July 2023
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By-Election Preview: East Kilbride West (South Lanarkshire) 6th of July 2023

An SNP-triggered by-election in the only East Kilbride ward they weren’t overall winners in 2022 comes at the worst possible time for the party and seems almost certain to go Labour’s way.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 11, 2023June 11, 2023
By-Election Preview: Bellshill (North Lanarkshire) 15th of June 2023
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By-Election Preview: Bellshill (North Lanarkshire) 15th of June 2023

Former councillor, and briefly council leader, Jordan Linden’s departure caps off a period of absolute chaos for the local SNP group, leaving the by-election wide open for a Labour win.

by Ballot Box Scotland•May 15, 2023May 15, 2023
By-Election Result: Dunblane and Bridge of Allan
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By-Election Result: Dunblane and Bridge of Allan

The Conservatives sweep to a solid victory in what had last year been a tight race against the SNP, whilst the Greens take a much heavier hit than they should be happy with in one of their core wards.

by Ballot Box Scotland•March 23, 2023June 18, 2023
By-Election Result: Corstorphine and Murrayfield
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By-Election Result: Corstorphine and Murrayfield

As expected, the Lib Dems romp home to a stonking victory, handing them complete control of a ward.

by Ballot Box Scotland•March 11, 2023March 17, 2023
By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone
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By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone

The first by-election of 2023 gives the SNP a spook to start the year, recording their worst share yet in this ward, as a Labour surge into second place on first preferences set the stage for an easy win following transfer rounds.

by Ballot Box Scotland•February 27, 2023February 27, 2023
By-Election Preview: Dunblane and Bridge of Allan (Stirling) 16th of March 2023
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By-Election Preview: Dunblane and Bridge of Allan (Stirling) 16th of March 2023

The sad passing of an SNP councillor has triggered what could be a real nailbiter of a by-election, with both SNP and Conservatives in contention.

by Ballot Box Scotland•February 14, 2023May 13, 2023
By-Election Preview: Corstorphine and Murrayfield (Edinburgh) 9th of March 2023
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By-Election Preview: Corstorphine and Murrayfield (Edinburgh) 9th of March 2023

The departure of a dissatisfied SNP councillor opens the door for the Lib Dems to take complete control of this ward.

by Ballot Box Scotland•February 6, 2023March 11, 2023
By-Election Preview: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone (Aberdeen) 23rd of February 2023
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By-Election Preview: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone (Aberdeen) 23rd of February 2023

The first by-election of 2023 looks most favourable to the SNP, but recent patterns and polling mean a Labour resurgence shouldn’t be written off.

by Ballot Box Scotland•January 23, 2023January 23, 2023
By-Election Result: Mid Galloway and Wigtown West (2022)
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By-Election Result: Mid Galloway and Wigtown West (2022)

An expected Conservative victory nonetheless bucks national polling trends, with the party gaining ground at the expense of the SNP and Labour despite collapse elsewhere.

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 10, 2022December 15, 2022

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    Larkhall is a slightly special case, but one of the bits I pick up in here is that whilst Reform beat the SNP and Labour came third, Labour would have beaten both the SNP (by 2%) and Reform (by 2.3%) in a head-to-head, because they were more transfer-attractive here than either party.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    By-Election Result: Larkhall

    Reform win their second ever by-election by displacing Labour in one of the most staunchly Pro-Union parts of the country.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Larkhall (South Lanarkshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    Reform UK: 1150 (35.2%, new)
    SNP: 975 (29.9%, +1.0)
    Labour: 799 (24.5%, -8.5)
    Conservative: 342 (10.5%, -14)

    Reform UK elected stage 4.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    I don't know why councils occasionally do this. It's not legal to get up on stage and go "The winning candidate won this many votes, now go away until tomorrow if you want anyone else's figures", so why are they not taking the few extra seconds to add everyone's votes or a photo of the declaration?
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-election underway for South Lanarkshire's Larkhall ward. After having failed one test last week, this is another key test of Reform's electability in a very different type of area they would expect to do well in. If they can't pull off a win, it'll almost certainly be Labour instead.

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