The first poll of 2022 is both oddly boring yet intriguing. Though the Conservatives add a poor Scottish poll to their poor GB-wide trends, Labour don’t benefit at all, with the Lib Dems instead gaining. The constitution remains evenly split, whilst voters are unconvinced on adding Devo Max to the mix.
A dramatic poll showing an Independence lead cuts a stark contrast to the Union-leaning stasis of other pollsters. The leading parties in that bloc also see themselves with positive vote figures, with only the Lib Dems finding any cheer amongst a grim poll for pro-Union parties.
YouGov’s first post-election poll has bad news for the Conservatives but happier tidings for the Greens and Lib Dems, alongside some very interesting findings on a multi question constitutional referendum.
Though polling hasn’t yet strayed much from May’s election results, the oscillation here gives strong figures for the SNP, Greens and Lib Dems, whilst showing the Conservatives in their weakest position of the term thus far.
A positive poll for Holyrood’s third, fourth and fifth placed parties has each gaining on May’s election, with Labour polling improving for the first time. Meanwhile, the constitutional question is stuck firmly on 52:48 for the Union.
In a poll that slipped under the radar like an Australian nuclear submarine, the Lib Dems may be seeing faint stirrings of recovery, whilst it’s Brexit 2: Those Numbers Boogaloo as the constitutional question seemingly settles into a 52:48 split in favour of the union.
A second poll in as many days will have had the Greens grinning from ear to ear with a record high share for the party, whilst narrow support for the Union prevails.
In just the second poll since this year’s Holyrood election, Opinium find slightly weakened Conservative and Labour shares open a handful of doors for SNP, Green and Lib Dem gains.
The first full Scottish poll since May’s election has very little to get excited about. All swings are within margin of error, as is the constitutional question, though the trend is now consistently pro-Union.
In the last polling analysis piece of the election, Survation have a narrow SNP majority and an equally narrow Conservative lead over Labour, and add to the stream of polls showing the constitutional pendulum swinging back towards Union.
