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Westminster

Where’s Westminster?
Posted in
  • Behind the Scenes

Where’s Westminster?

To fill the gap for my first 2019 post, I thought I’d go behind the scenes of this project again to explain why, as you might have noticed, there’s a Westminster seat projection shaped hole in my output.

by Ballot Box Scotland•January 10, 2019August 31, 2020
2018 in Review – Parliamentary Polling
Posted in
  • Annual Reviews

2018 in Review – Parliamentary Polling

Since it wouldn’t be representative either to take the last poll of the year or to just average out the whole thing, I’ll be comparing the last quarter of this year with the same period last year.

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 20, 2018December 28, 2020
Panelbase, 30th Nov-5th Dec 2018
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Panelbase, 30th Nov-5th Dec 2018

Panelbase, with these all these polls you’re really spoiling us. For the third month on the … Panelbase, 30th Nov-5th Dec 2018Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 11, 2018August 31, 2020
Panelbase, 2nd-7th Nov 2018
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Panelbase, 2nd-7th Nov 2018

After two years of silence on the Scottish polling front from Panelbase, since June they’ve been … Panelbase, 2nd-7th Nov 2018Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 20, 2018August 31, 2020
Survation, 18th-21st Oct 2018
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Survation, 18th-21st Oct 2018

We’re being treated to a second proper Survation poll this month, with another carried out from … Survation, 18th-21st Oct 2018Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 29, 2018August 31, 2020
Panelbase, 28th Sept-4th Oct 2018
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Panelbase, 28th Sept-4th Oct 2018

For the second post in as many days on the burst of polling we got on … Panelbase, 28th Sept-4th Oct 2018Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 12, 2018August 31, 2020
Survation, 28th Sept-2nd Oct 2018
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Survation, 28th Sept-2nd Oct 2018

Once again Scottish polls prove just like buses – we’d heard nothing since July, then three … Survation, 28th Sept-2nd Oct 2018Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 11, 2018August 31, 2020
Survation, 5th-10th of July 2018
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Survation, 5th-10th of July 2018

Hurray, we didn’t have to wait four months for another Scottish Parliament polling! Survation had a … Survation, 5th-10th of July 2018Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 21, 2018August 31, 2020
Panelbase, 8th-13th of June 2018
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Panelbase, 8th-13th of June 2018

Polls are a bit like buses, you wait four months for one and two come along … Panelbase, 8th-13th of June 2018Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 19, 2018August 31, 2020
YouGov, 1st-5th of June 2018
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

YouGov, 1st-5th of June 2018

Good news, everyone! YouGov has published a whole bunch of new Scottish polling data, after long … YouGov, 1st-5th of June 2018Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 8, 2018August 31, 2020

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    Larkhall is a slightly special case, but one of the bits I pick up in here is that whilst Reform beat the SNP and Labour came third, Labour would have beaten both the SNP (by 2%) and Reform (by 2.3%) in a head-to-head, because they were more transfer-attractive here than either party.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    By-Election Result: Larkhall

    Reform win their second ever by-election by displacing Labour in one of the most staunchly Pro-Union parts of the country.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Larkhall (South Lanarkshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    Reform UK: 1150 (35.2%, new)
    SNP: 975 (29.9%, +1.0)
    Labour: 799 (24.5%, -8.5)
    Conservative: 342 (10.5%, -14)

    Reform UK elected stage 4.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    I don't know why councils occasionally do this. It's not legal to get up on stage and go "The winning candidate won this many votes, now go away until tomorrow if you want anyone else's figures", so why are they not taking the few extra seconds to add everyone's votes or a photo of the declaration?
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-election underway for South Lanarkshire's Larkhall ward. After having failed one test last week, this is another key test of Reform's electability in a very different type of area they would expect to do well in. If they can't pull off a win, it'll almost certainly be Labour instead.
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