I’m taking one small step for polling, one giant leap for Ballot Box Scotland by launching a dedicated crowdfunder to expand my coverage ahead of the 2022 Local Elections, to fund a poll and a series of articles. […]
Though polling hasn’t yet strayed much from May’s election results, the oscillation here gives strong figures for the SNP, Greens and Lib Dems, whilst showing the Conservatives in their weakest position of the term thus far. […]
This early-term by-election followed a remarkable hat trick for a Conservative who was elected councillor, councillor again, then MP all within the space of a year. […]
The most surprising of our end of term by-elections comes from a last-minute resignation, where the Conservatives seem the clear favourites, with their only real challengers likely to be an Independent. […]
The first of a spate of “councillor elected in May becomes an MP in June” by-elections back in 2017 saw a popular Lib Dem pave the way for the speedy return of a local Independent. […]
This by-election has been cancelled! A fitting end to what was quite a saga. […]
For this dip into the archives, we look at the Curious Case of the Conservative Councillor Who (C)Wasn’t, which led to a dramatic but ultimately pointless little success story for a minor party. […]
A positive poll for Holyrood’s third, fourth and fifth placed parties has each gaining on May’s election, with Labour polling improving for the first time. Meanwhile, the constitutional question is stuck firmly on 52:48 for the Union. […]
The very sad passing of a Conservative councillor gives one of the final by-elections of the term everyone would rather not have had to hold, which is likely to be won by either the SNP or a typical Highland Independent. […]
Social media partisans like to think of voters as neat, predictable actors moving along obvious political spectra. In reality, the electorate is a messy bench which loves drama, nowhere more so than in constitutional matters. […]
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