By-elections
Back Catalogue Bonus: Cardonald 7th of September 2017
2017’s second by-election arose in tragic circumstances, but saw Labour effect a remarkable turnaround from an unprecedented second place back into first. […]
Year: 2021
Boundary Reviews
Boundary Change Extra: North Ayrshire
New boundaries for North Ayrshire will come into effect before May’s elections, giving Scotland both its first single and five member STV wards. But what would 2017 have looked like under these boundaries? […]
By-elections
Back Catalogue Bonus: Elgin City North 13th of July 2017
In the first entry looking back at 2017’s pre-BBS by-elections, we encounter a time waster that packed it in after four days. […]
By-elections
By-Election Result: Falkirk South
Labour’s continued difficulties saw gains for both the SNP and Conservatives, but a much narrower contest in first preferences disguised little change from 2017 after transfers, with the SNP effectively holding the seat. […]
Boundary Reviews
If At First You Don’t Review, Draft and Draft Again
It’s third time lucky for Westminster boundary changes, as initial proposals for a review that can’t be (so easily) blocked have been published. Sweeping changes and many odd seats are a natural consequence of First Past the Post, and a reminder of its inadequacies as a voting system. […]
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 6th – 10th of September 2021
In a poll that slipped under the radar like an Australian nuclear submarine, the Lib Dems may be seeing faint stirrings of recovery, whilst it’s Brexit 2: Those Numbers Boogaloo as the constitutional question seemingly settles into a 52:48 split in favour of the union. […]
By-elections
By-Election Preview: Falkirk South 14th of October 2021
The departure of the ward’s long-serving but third-placed Labour councillor sets up a comparatively rare for the Central Belt SNP-Conservative contest. […]
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis: ComRes 3rd – 9th of September 2021
A second poll in as many days will have had the Greens grinning from ear to ear with a record high share for the party, whilst narrow support for the Union prevails. […]
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis: Opinium 3rd – 8th of September 2021
In just the second poll since this year’s Holyrood election, Opinium find slightly weakened Conservative and Labour shares open a handful of doors for SNP, Green and Lib Dem gains. […]
By-elections
By-Election Result: Mid-Formartine
An SNP vacancy opened the door for a broadly expected Conservative victory, in a typical Aberdeenshire by-election. […]