A third ComRes in a row continues to show a close contest for second place at Holyrood, this time to Labour’s narrow advantage, and still strong Green figures. The constitutional question remains tight but with a Union lead. […]
Aberdeenshire is set to be Scotland’s most interesting contest, as Conservatives hope to make up for 2017’s under-nomination, the SNP bounce back from a low, Lib Dems try to stave off decline, and Labour and the Greens face likely ejection. […]
Glasgow’s biggest city is likely to remain an SNP lead, though Labour could narrow the gap. The Conservatives meanwhile are at serious risk of losing third place to the Greens. […]
Don’t expect anything but a Conservative lead in what is a strong council for them, and the SNP’s weakest on the mainland. The Labour vote may be the one to watch here, both in terms of how it shifts at top level and where transfers go. […]
Transfers helped deliver an SNP-Labour tie in seats in 2017, but boundary changes may have helped make enough of a difference for the SNP to pull ahead this time. […]
Scotland’s third largest city has become increasingly politically diverse, and may see at least one Green councillor for the first time – whilst a term-long suspension for Labour’s councillors offers a truly weird backdrop for that party. […]
East Dunbartonshire loves a chaotic result under STV, making it one of the least predictable contests in the country. […]
Two things seem certain in Fife – firstly, that the SNP will remain in the lead, and secondly that the Lib Dems will remain dominant in North East Fife. What happens in terms of seats is less clear, with few obvious prospects for SNP and Labour gains against likely weakened Conservatives. […]
Capital cities the world over are highly political diverse – at least where the voting system allows that – and Edinburgh is no different. Expect all five major parties to have a strong presence here, with likely Conservative slippage. […]
The Comhairle is somewhat less Independent than the other islands. In the face of boundary changes, will the SNP maintain and grow their councillor group? Can the Conservatives add to their single seat? And might the Greens make a surprise apperance? […]
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