By-elections
By-Election Result: Linn
Labour emerge the expected victors in another “first Glasgow by-election of the term”, whilst the Conservative plunge to their worst ever result in the ward leads to a surprise Green third place. […]
Year: 2022
Boundary Reviews
Westminster Boundary Review 2023: Revised Proposal Analysis
Background After months of fevered work, the Boundary Commission for Scotland have emerged with revised proposals for Scotland’s Westminster constituency boundaries. They kicked off this process in 2021, and have until the 1st of July 2023 to come up with […]
By-elections
By-Election Preview: Mid Galloway and Wigtown West (Dumfries and Galloway) 8th of December 2022
2022 has had a fair spate of accidental councillors, leading in this case to a silent exit by the Labour councillor, giving the Conservatives a strong chance at picking up a third seat. […]
By-elections
By-Election Result: Buckie
Given the opportunity to vote they were denied in May, this ward snaps back to normality after the oddity of an uncontested Lib Dem councillor, with the SNP asserting what would likely have been May’s result of a double had they not failed to stand enough candidates. […]
By-elections
By-Election Preview: Broxburn, Uphall and Winchburgh (West Lothian) 1st of December 2022
Another sad, early passing of a sitting Labour councillor sets up a tight contest with the SNP attempting to return a previous by-election winner to the council. […]
By-elections
By-Election Preview: Shetland West 17th of November 2022
An early doors resignation from an Independent opens the door for another Independent who only narrowly missed out. Rarely for Islands elections, there are more party candidates on the ballot than Independents – though only three candidates overall. […]
By-elections
By-Election Preview: Linn (Glasgow) 17th of November 2022
A shock by-election following the death of Labour’s former local group leader brings a jam-packed ballot paper, though his party hold the advantage for retaining the seat. […]
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis: ComRes 30th of September – 4th of October 2022
Out of a terrible trio of polls for the Conservatives, ComRes is the least bad, with only a slightly decrease versus the previous Holyrood poll. Nonetheless, Labour continue to make up ground, whilst the Constitution remains utterly immobile. […]
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis: YouGov 30th of September – 4th of October 2022
One of a trio of polls that all appeared at once, this shows the strongest figures for the SNP and weakest for the Conservatives, suggesting a Holyrood majority for the former and complete Westminster wipeout for the latter. Meanwhile, Scots continue to make the constitution dull as dishwater. […]
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis (Lite): Panelbase 7th – 11th of October 2022
This is a gap-filler “lite” piece, in line with Ballot Box Scotland’s non-coverage policy for polls where the commissioning outlet has not published standard Holyrood VI at the same time as other VI. […]