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Author: Ballot Box Scotland

Wards Worth Watching: East Renfrewshire
Posted in
  • Local Elections 2022

Wards Worth Watching: East Renfrewshire

Combining a cluster of affluent Glasgow suburbs with a strong Conservative history with two working class towns, East Renfrewshire has had an electorally mixed few years.

by Ballot Box Scotland•February 14, 2022April 27, 2022
Local Elections 2022: An Entirely Different Beast
Posted in
  • Local Elections 2022

Local Elections 2022: An Entirely Different Beast

In 12 weeks’ time, we’ll know who all 1226 of Scotland’s new councillors are. But local elections are a unique part of our electoral cycle, so here’s a little bit about what to expect.

by Ballot Box Scotland•February 11, 2022February 10, 2022
Term in Review: 2017-22 By-Elections
Posted in
  • Annual Reviews

Term in Review: 2017-22 By-Elections

One final look back across the sum of the by-elections in this local government term. Some light-hearted awards balance out some more thoughtful personal reflections.

by Ballot Box Scotland•January 27, 2022April 17, 2022
Poll Analysis: ComRes 14th – 18th of January 2022
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: ComRes 14th – 18th of January 2022

The first poll of 2022 is both oddly boring yet intriguing. Though the Conservatives add a poor Scottish poll to their poor GB-wide trends, Labour don’t benefit at all, with the Lib Dems instead gaining. The constitution remains evenly split, whilst voters are unconvinced on adding Devo Max to the mix.

by Ballot Box Scotland•January 25, 2022January 25, 2022
By-Election Result: Preston, Seton and Gosford
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Preston, Seton and Gosford

The very final by-election of the 2017-2022 term delivers an unsurprising Labour victory and, perhaps more surprisingly, a suite of only very small swings.

by Ballot Box Scotland•January 21, 2022January 25, 2022
What If…. the Scottish Conservatives Push the Murdo Fraser Button?
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  • Articles

What If…. the Scottish Conservatives Push the Murdo Fraser Button?

2022 is off to a fiery start as seemingly the entire Holyrood wing of the Conservatives launch into open revolt against Prime Minister Boris Johnson. Some commentators are talking about a new political party, echoing Murdo Fraser’s 2011 campaign pledge.

by Ballot Box Scotland•January 13, 2022January 13, 2022
2021 in Review: Constitutional Polling
Posted in
  • Annual Reviews

2021 in Review: Constitutional Polling

For one final look back at 2021, we’re looking at the constitutional twists and turns in a year that started with a lead for Independence and ends with one for the Union.

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 22, 2021June 19, 2022
2021 in Review: Parliamentary Polling
Posted in
  • Annual Reviews

2021 in Review: Parliamentary Polling

The months following an election are never the busiest time for polling, but what there is to end the year finds everyone else at Holyrood gaining at least a little at the Conservatives’ expense.

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 21, 2021December 27, 2021
2021 in Review: Council By-Elections
Posted in
  • Annual Reviews

2021 in Review: Council By-Elections

STV proved typically messy throughout 2021, with a mighty 22 by-elections giving the SNP, Conservatives and Lib Dems electoral gains since 2017, whilst Labour fell backwards.

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 19, 2021December 19, 2021
By-Election Result: Lomond North
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Lomond North

The last by-election of the year, and second last of the term, gives an expected Conservative victory in a largely rural ward, where Independents rather than the SNP were their main challengers.

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 18, 2021December 18, 2021

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    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    Edinburgh by-elections due on the 3rd of September. In 2022, Labour beat Greens by 2% after transfers. Given what happened last month, Greens should surely be ahead. If they win, that'd be only their second by-election win ever. Curveball: Lib Dems have a formidable local machine.
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    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-Election Preview: Larkhall (South Lanarkshire) 9th of July 2026

    A by-election in a staunchly Pro-Union part of the country is a huge opportunity for Reform to score a win, though Labour will benefit more from SNP transfer flows.
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    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 6 days

    By-Election Preview: Peterhead South and Cruden (Aberdeenshire) 2nd of July 2026

    A messy vote in a historic SNP heartland, where the Conservatives made stunning inroads post-IndyRef, and Reform lead on one of the votes last month. A tossup between all three, then?
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