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Author: Ballot Box Scotland

Survation, 28th of October – 4th of November 2020
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Survation, 28th of October – 4th of November 2020

Capping off an extremely busy week both for BBS content and for politics nerds in general, a rare Labour second place is the main story in this otherwise on-trend poll.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 7, 2020March 3, 2021
Kincorth/Nigg/Cove (Aberdeen) By-Election Result
Posted in
  • By-elections

Kincorth/Nigg/Cove (Aberdeen) By-Election Result

A foregone conclusion for the SNP, perhaps the most interesting part of this by-election is that it raises the possibility Labour may lose their seat here in 2022, allowing the return of the 2012-17 Independent councillor Andy Finlayson.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 6, 2020November 6, 2020
Islands Act Boundary Reviews – Highland
Posted in
  • Boundary Reviews

Islands Act Boundary Reviews – Highland

Boundary changes are incoming for Councils that include inhabited islands as a result of the Islands Act. Highland is in for sweeping changes, but those result more from the Electoral Reform Act.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 5, 2020October 7, 2023
Islands Act Boundary Reviews – Argyll & Bute and North Ayrshire
Posted in
  • Boundary Reviews

Islands Act Boundary Reviews – Argyll & Bute and North Ayrshire

Boundary changes are incoming for Councils that include inhabited islands as a result of the Islands Act. Here, we look at how Argyll & Bute and North Ayrshire may be affected.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 4, 2020October 7, 2023
Perth City (Perth and Kinross) By-Elections, 26/11/2020
Posted in
  • By-elections

Perth City (Perth and Kinross) By-Elections, 26/11/2020

A two-fer of Perth City By-Elections to (possibly) wrap up 2020’s by-elections. Expect the SNP to romp home in North, but South is a much more complex three-way split, with SNP and Lib Dems probably in a better position than the Conservatives.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 27, 2020November 23, 2020
North Lanarkshire By-Elections, 04/03/2021
Posted in
  • By-elections

North Lanarkshire By-Elections, 04/03/2021

Two by-elections, in two wards that have already had by-elections since 2017, with Labour capable of winning both, which would give them every councillor in both. Guys, this wasn’t how STV was meant to go.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 20, 2020February 24, 2021
Ellon and District (Aberdeenshire) By-Election Result
Posted in
  • By-elections

Ellon and District (Aberdeenshire) By-Election Result

In the first party-political by-election anywhere in the UK since March, the SNP snatch a narrow surprise win over the Conservatives.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 16, 2020October 17, 2020
Ipsos MORI, 2nd-9th of October 2020
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Ipsos MORI, 2nd-9th of October 2020

Starkly different to the overlapping ComRes poll, Ipsos MORI find a large SNP majority, grim results for Labour, and the highest support for Independence yet seen.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 14, 2020March 3, 2021
Craigentinny/Duddingston (Edinburgh) By-Election, 12/11/2020
Posted in
  • By-elections

Craigentinny/Duddingston (Edinburgh) By-Election, 12/11/2020

Prompted by an SNP resignation, re-calculating 2017 has Labour close behind. Given each party’s current polling, odds are on the SNP coming out on top.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 13, 2020October 19, 2020
ComRes, 9th of October 2020
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

ComRes, 9th of October 2020

A second poll from our newest (hopefully regular) agency has the SNP on a knife-edge majority, Labour continuing a modest polling recovery, and the strongest Green result in well over a year.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 12, 2020March 3, 2021

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 8 hours

    Headline here is about Highland's licensing committee but one of these four, Wick and East Caithness Independent councillor Willie MacKay, has also quit as councillor entirely, continuing Highland Council's almost permanent election footing.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 2 days

    By-Election Result: Peterhead South and Cruden

    Reform struggle in their strongest Holyrood patch, falling behind the Conservatives at the final stage against the ultimately victorious SNP.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Looking forward to seeing the transfers on this one, because RUK + CON + IND RT + SFP is 53.3% for the Right, so in theory a path was there for RUK or CON win, but didn't happen.

    Pre-election some had suggested I may have been wrong to have the SNP included in my three-way tossup call; vindication!
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Peterhead South and Cruden (Aberdeenshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    SNP: 742 (36.5%, -10.0)
    RUK: 465 (22.9%)
    CON: 432 (21.3%, -20.0)
    IND JR: 150 (7.4%)
    IND RT: 132 (6.5%)
    LD: 56 (2.8%, -9.4)
    SFP: 54 (2.7%)

    SNP elected stage TBC. (No chart as I'm in office for day job atm!)
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-election today for Aberdeenshire's Peterhead South and Cruden ward. A historic SNP stronghold, in an area that swung hard to the Conservatives then Reform = not the easiest outcome to predict!
Last updated 10 minutes ago

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