Two by-elections, in two wards that have already had by-elections since 2017, with Labour capable of winning both, which would give them every councillor in both. Guys, this wasn’t how STV was meant to go.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
Ellon and District (Aberdeenshire) By-Election Result
In the first party-political by-election anywhere in the UK since March, the SNP snatch a narrow surprise win over the Conservatives.
Ipsos MORI, 2nd-9th of October 2020
Starkly different to the overlapping ComRes poll, Ipsos MORI find a large SNP majority, grim results for Labour, and the highest support for Independence yet seen.
Craigentinny/Duddingston (Edinburgh) By-Election, 12/11/2020
Prompted by an SNP resignation, re-calculating 2017 has Labour close behind. Given each party’s current polling, odds are on the SNP coming out on top.
ComRes, 9th of October 2020
A second poll from our newest (hopefully regular) agency has the SNP on a knife-edge majority, Labour continuing a modest polling recovery, and the strongest Green result in well over a year.
October 2020 Islands By-Election Results
After a pandemic-induced break, the first by-elections since March not just in Scotland but anywhere in the UK took place over the past week. This was a gentle easing back into by-elections for politics nerds, as both were for largely-Independent Islands councils.
Kincorth/Nigg/Cove (Aberdeen) By-Election, 05/11/2020
Of the three by-elections that were due on the 5th, we’re down to just this one in Aberdeen. Following an SNP Councillor’s election as MP, they should easily hold their seat.
Ellon and District (Aberdeenshire) By-Election, 15/10/2020
Following the SNP electing a councillor as MP for Gordon, this by-election could see the Conservatives gain a seat, making up for their mistake in 2017 of nominating too few candidates.
Survation, 2nd-7th of September 2020
A fourth poll from a different agency in a row sees the SNP maintain a commanding lead, but the first Labour lead in seats versus the Conservatives in nearly two years.
Na Hearadh agus Ceann a Deas Nan Loch (Na h-Eileanan an Iar) By-Election, 08/10/2020
A second Islands council by-election, this time for the Comhairle nan Eilean Siar, is likely to follow the Islands norm with an Independent victory – but what Independent?