A busy year in polling ends with the SNP clear leaders and (currently) on track for a majority, gains for the Greens, weakening Conservatives and Lib Dems, and a degree of stabilisation for Labour.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
2020 in Review – Council By-Elections
Looking back over an exhausting year, the first part of the 2020 review takes us through the 10 council by-elections held across Scotland.
ComRes, 11th-15th of December 2020
For the last (?) poll of the year, we see the currently usual AMS-busting SNP success, combined with joint highest figures for the Greens and Independence.
Survation, 4th-9th of December 2020
Continued leads for the SNP and Independence in this poll are joined by an early Christmas present for Labour, with their first Holyrood poll outside the teens in two years.
Ipsos MORI, 20th-26th of November 2020
The second Ipsos MORI poll climbs down from the record SNP and Yes highs in the previous poll though shows clear leads. Conservatives and Labour up, whilst Greens and Lib Dems down.
Perth City By-Election Results
We finished off 2020’s by-elections with two in Perth – an SNP blowout in the North, and the Lib Dems emerging triumphant from the three-way scrap in South.
Clackmannanshire East By-Election Result
What had been three expected by-elections became one at the last minute, which saw the Conservatives emerge victorious on a rare win by first preferences alone.
Panelbase, 5th – 11th of November 2020
The second of that polling double whammy, a projected SNP majority at Holyrood sits alongside marginally above average poll figures for the Conservatives and Labour.
Craigentinny/Duddingston (Edinburgh) By-Election Result
An easy SNP victory in this ward, though without the bump in support current polling might have suggested. Instead, the Greens and Lib Dems were the parties picking up big increases in support.
YouGov, 6th – 10th of November 2020
The first of a double-whammy of polls, YouGov shows the currently standard SNP majority, with (relative to other pollsters) lows for Labour, Lib Dems and Greens.