The first of a trio of by-elections due on the 11th, the untimely passing of the Conservative councillor here results in a highly unpredictable competition. Could go any of Con/SNP/Ind/LD!
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
Panelbase, 19th-22nd of January 2021
Panelbase inject a bit of diversity into recent polling, showing stronger results for the SNP and keeping the Conservatives in second, ahead of weaker figures for the other three Holyrood parties.
Survation, 11th-13th of January 2021
Survation maintain their tendency to put Labour ahead of the Conservatives for second, though the weakest poll for the SNP in months still shows them with a majority.
ComRes, 8th-13th of January 2021
ComRes continue to show strong SNP and Green support, whilst the worst poll for the Conservatives since 2016 put Labour in second – a placing immediately overshadowed by Richard Leonard’s resignation.
2020 in Review – Independence Polling
The first sustained polling lead for Independence, with as many Yes-favourable polls in 2020 as in the whole nine years previously, adds to the large pile of “reasons 2020 was a remarkable year”.
2020 in Review – Parliamentary Polling
A busy year in polling ends with the SNP clear leaders and (currently) on track for a majority, gains for the Greens, weakening Conservatives and Lib Dems, and a degree of stabilisation for Labour.
2020 in Review – Council By-Elections
Looking back over an exhausting year, the first part of the 2020 review takes us through the 10 council by-elections held across Scotland.
ComRes, 11th-15th of December 2020
For the last (?) poll of the year, we see the currently usual AMS-busting SNP success, combined with joint highest figures for the Greens and Independence.
Survation, 4th-9th of December 2020
Continued leads for the SNP and Independence in this poll are joined by an early Christmas present for Labour, with their first Holyrood poll outside the teens in two years.
Ipsos MORI, 20th-26th of November 2020
The second Ipsos MORI poll climbs down from the record SNP and Yes highs in the previous poll though shows clear leads. Conservatives and Labour up, whilst Greens and Lib Dems down.