The shock disqualification of one of the city’s longest serving Labour councillors has prompted this by-election which the SNP are runaway favourites to win.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
Isle of Bute (Argyll & Bute) By-Election 18/03/2021
One of two Argyll & Bute by-elections, both sadly following the death of a councillor, Bute will be a tough competition between the SNP, Conservatives and a strong local Independent.
ComRes, 4th-9th of February 2021
ComRes firmly claim the crown for the most prolific Scottish pollster, with this one finding a Conservative bounceback into second and the first projected loss in seats for the Lib Dems since 2017.
Leaderdale and Melrose (Borders) By-Election, 11/03/2021
Prompted by the sad passing of the local SNP councillor Kevin Drum, this by-election looks most favourable for the Conservatives. However, always keep an eye on Independents when in a big rural council like the Borders!
Livingston South (West Lothian) By-Election, 11/03/2021
The departure of a very long-serving SNP councillor has this ward as a knife-edge contest between his party and Labour. By-election demographics might favour Labour, recent polling the SNP.
Aird and Loch Ness (Highland) By-Election, 11/03/2021
The first of a trio of by-elections due on the 11th, the untimely passing of the Conservative councillor here results in a highly unpredictable competition. Could go any of Con/SNP/Ind/LD!
Panelbase, 19th-22nd of January 2021
Panelbase inject a bit of diversity into recent polling, showing stronger results for the SNP and keeping the Conservatives in second, ahead of weaker figures for the other three Holyrood parties.
Survation, 11th-13th of January 2021
Survation maintain their tendency to put Labour ahead of the Conservatives for second, though the weakest poll for the SNP in months still shows them with a majority.
ComRes, 8th-13th of January 2021
ComRes continue to show strong SNP and Green support, whilst the worst poll for the Conservatives since 2016 put Labour in second – a placing immediately overshadowed by Richard Leonard’s resignation.
2020 in Review – Independence Polling
The first sustained polling lead for Independence, with as many Yes-favourable polls in 2020 as in the whole nine years previously, adds to the large pile of “reasons 2020 was a remarkable year”.