A gloomy poll for Labour, the SNP remain miles ahead of everyone else, whilst the Greens find a single percentage point can be make-or-break. Support for Independence continues a slight reversal found by other pollsters, which could soon see an unprecedented streak of leads brought to a close.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
Midlothian East By-Election, 25/03/2021
An SNP resignation in this ward gives us another one of those extremely tight marginals. It was a near tie between Labour and the actually tied Conservatives and SNP at the crucial stage in the re-calculation, so expect all three to be in with a chance.
Almond and Earn (Perth & Kinross) By-Election, 25/03/2021
In another by-election arising from tragic circumstances, the Conservatives are runaway favourites to win a third seat here, giving them every councillor in the ward.
Partick East/Kelvindale (Glasgow) By-Election, 18/03/2021
Another Glasgow ward with a disqualified councillor (Conservative-turned-Independent), although one of the city’s most diverse wards, the SNP remain clear favourites.
Helensburgh and Lomond South (Argyll & Bute) By-Election, 18/03/2021
The other Argyll and Bute by-election taking place on the 18th of March is a Lib Dem vacancy that’s most likely to go to the Conservatives.
Baillieston (Glasgow) By-Election, 18/03/2021
The shock disqualification of one of the city’s longest serving Labour councillors has prompted this by-election which the SNP are runaway favourites to win.
Isle of Bute (Argyll & Bute) By-Election 18/03/2021
One of two Argyll & Bute by-elections, both sadly following the death of a councillor, Bute will be a tough competition between the SNP, Conservatives and a strong local Independent.
ComRes, 4th-9th of February 2021
ComRes firmly claim the crown for the most prolific Scottish pollster, with this one finding a Conservative bounceback into second and the first projected loss in seats for the Lib Dems since 2017.
Leaderdale and Melrose (Borders) By-Election, 11/03/2021
Prompted by the sad passing of the local SNP councillor Kevin Drum, this by-election looks most favourable for the Conservatives. However, always keep an eye on Independents when in a big rural council like the Borders!
Livingston South (West Lothian) By-Election, 11/03/2021
The departure of a very long-serving SNP councillor has this ward as a knife-edge contest between his party and Labour. By-election demographics might favour Labour, recent polling the SNP.
