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Author: Ballot Box Scotland

Eilean a’ Cheò (Highland) By-Election, 12/03/2020
Posted in
  • By-elections

Eilean a’ Cheò (Highland) By-Election, 12/03/2020

We’re still on the west coast of Scotland for 2020’s second council by-election on the 12th … Eilean a’ Cheò (Highland) By-Election, 12/03/2020Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•February 10, 2020August 31, 2020
Panelbase, 28th-31st Jan 2020
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Panelbase, 28th-31st Jan 2020

The second of Monday’s double polling whammy was from Panelbase. They’d polled a lot more recently … Panelbase, 28th-31st Jan 2020Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•February 7, 2020August 31, 2020
Survation, 20th-22nd January 2020
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Survation, 20th-22nd January 2020

We haven’t actually had a full Survation poll since March last year, so this is a welcome bit of diversity in terms of polling agencies.
SNP – 64
Conservative – 24
Labour – 24
Green – 9
Lib Dem – 8

by Ballot Box Scotland•February 4, 2020August 31, 2020
Mid Galloway and Wigtown West By-Election Result
Posted in
  • By-elections

Mid Galloway and Wigtown West By-Election Result

For the very first Scottish election of the decade, we were down in Dumfries and Galloway. The stonking Conservative figure means this is the first single-seat by-election since Ballot Box Scotland launched two years ago where the winner did so on first preferences.

by Ballot Box Scotland•January 24, 2020November 20, 2020
Mid Galloway and Wigtown West (Dumfries and Galloway) By-Election, 23/01/2020
Posted in
  • By-elections

Mid Galloway and Wigtown West (Dumfries and Galloway) By-Election, 23/01/2020

For the New Year – and new decade – we’re going straight into the Mid Galloway … Mid Galloway and Wigtown West (Dumfries and Galloway) By-Election, 23/01/2020Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•January 3, 2020August 31, 2020
2019 in Review: All the Parliaments
Posted in
  • Annual Reviews

2019 in Review: All the Parliaments

It’s been a dramatic year in politics in the UK, and even going back to the start of the year feels like a completely different world.

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 23, 2019December 28, 2020
2019 In Review – Council By-Elections
Posted in
  • Annual Reviews

2019 In Review – Council By-Elections

With the General Election out of the way and Christmas looming, it’s time for Ballot Box Scotland to neatly wrap up the year’s council by-elections.

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 22, 2019December 28, 2020
GE19 – The Difference a Boundary Makes
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2019

GE19 – The Difference a Boundary Makes

I’m back with one final GE19 post, this time on the effect of prospective new Scottish Westminster boundaries. Whether these boundaries are the ones we end up with for the next election or not, they are a reminder of the fundamentally undemocratic nature of FPTP.

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 20, 2019August 31, 2020
Long Read – Ballot Box Britain: GE 2019 Under PR
Posted in
  • Proportional Representation

Long Read – Ballot Box Britain: GE 2019 Under PR

Having worked out a simple PR model for the 2017 election just before GE19, it was easy to slot the numbers from this year in too. In an election notable for its tactical voting and heavily distorted result, I imagine a possible alternative to Westminster’s antiquated, unfair and fundamentally undemocratic voting system.

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 19, 2019August 31, 2020
GE19 – Out with the Old Battlegrounds, in with the New
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2019

GE19 – Out with the Old Battlegrounds, in with the New

We’ve gone from a whopping 46 marginal constituencies to just under half as many with a much more manageable 22. Whenever the next election rolls around, it now has a completely different set of key battlegrounds to the top 20 most marginal seats I covered in the run up to GE19.

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 18, 2019August 31, 2020

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 hours

    Headline here is about Highland's licensing committee but one of these four, Wick and East Caithness Independent councillor Willie MacKay, has also quit as councillor entirely, continuing Highland Council's almost permanent election footing.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 2 days

    By-Election Result: Peterhead South and Cruden

    Reform struggle in their strongest Holyrood patch, falling behind the Conservatives at the final stage against the ultimately victorious SNP.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Looking forward to seeing the transfers on this one, because RUK + CON + IND RT + SFP is 53.3% for the Right, so in theory a path was there for RUK or CON win, but didn't happen.

    Pre-election some had suggested I may have been wrong to have the SNP included in my three-way tossup call; vindication!
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Peterhead South and Cruden (Aberdeenshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    SNP: 742 (36.5%, -10.0)
    RUK: 465 (22.9%)
    CON: 432 (21.3%, -20.0)
    IND JR: 150 (7.4%)
    IND RT: 132 (6.5%)
    LD: 56 (2.8%, -9.4)
    SFP: 54 (2.7%)

    SNP elected stage TBC. (No chart as I'm in office for day job atm!)
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-election today for Aberdeenshire's Peterhead South and Cruden ward. A historic SNP stronghold, in an area that swung hard to the Conservatives then Reform = not the easiest outcome to predict!

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