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Author: Ballot Box Scotland

Haddington and Lammermuir (East Lothian) By-Election, 09/05/19
Posted in
  • By-elections

Haddington and Lammermuir (East Lothian) By-Election, 09/05/19

May’s second council by-election remains on the east coast, but this time down in East Lothian. … Haddington and Lammermuir (East Lothian) By-Election, 09/05/19Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•April 3, 2019August 31, 2020
North East (Dundee) By-Election, 02/05/19
Posted in
  • By-elections

North East (Dundee) By-Election, 02/05/19

For the second city council by-election of the year, we’re heading slightly north to the City … North East (Dundee) By-Election, 02/05/19Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•March 30, 2019August 31, 2020
Clackmannanshire Central By-Election Result
Posted in
  • By-elections

Clackmannanshire Central By-Election Result

Scotland’s first council by-election of the year was held in Clackmannanshire Central yesterday. I reckoned this … Clackmannanshire Central By-Election ResultRead more

by Ballot Box Scotland•March 29, 2019August 31, 2020
Survation, 1st-4th March 2019
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Survation, 1st-4th March 2019

This Survation poll actually (mostly) predates the Panelbase, but seems to have been sat on for a week before details were published. Hence this appearing the day after the post about the later poll did. Confusing, right?

by Ballot Box Scotland•March 13, 2019August 31, 2020
Panelbase, 2nd-6th March 2019
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Panelbase, 2nd-6th March 2019

Two whole months plus one week into 2019 and we finally have some Scottish polling! Hurray! … Panelbase, 2nd-6th March 2019Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•March 12, 2019August 31, 2020
Leith Walk By-Election, 11/04/19
Posted in
  • By-elections

Leith Walk By-Election, 11/04/19

In another first for Ballot Box Scotland, April will see us taking a trip to the capital for the first City by-election since this project started.

by Ballot Box Scotland•March 11, 2019August 31, 2020
Clackmannanshire Central By-Election, 28/03/19
Posted in
  • By-elections

Clackmannanshire Central By-Election, 28/03/19

For our first by-election of 2019, we’re making a return trip to the Wee County. Following on from last year’s Clacks North by-election, Clackmannanshire Central has also just seen the resignation of an SNP Councillor, with Phil Fairlie choosing to step down for personal reasons.

by Ballot Box Scotland•February 25, 2019August 31, 2020
Beyond the Bubble – Scotland and the Independent Group
Posted in
  • Articles

Beyond the Bubble – Scotland and the Independent Group

Given I spend a lot of time as it is thinking about elections in Scotland but polling has been thin on the ground recently, a look at some of the questions that should be being asked seemed worthwhile.

by Ballot Box Scotland•February 20, 2019August 31, 2020
Where’s Westminster?
Posted in
  • Behind the Scenes

Where’s Westminster?

To fill the gap for my first 2019 post, I thought I’d go behind the scenes of this project again to explain why, as you might have noticed, there’s a Westminster seat projection shaped hole in my output.

by Ballot Box Scotland•January 10, 2019August 31, 2020
2018 in Review – Parliamentary Polling
Posted in
  • Annual Reviews

2018 in Review – Parliamentary Polling

Since it wouldn’t be representative either to take the last poll of the year or to just average out the whole thing, I’ll be comparing the last quarter of this year with the same period last year.

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 20, 2018December 28, 2020

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 23 hours

    By-Election Result: Peterhead South and Cruden

    Reform struggle in their strongest Holyrood patch, falling behind the Conservatives at the final stage against the ultimately victorious SNP.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 2 days

    Looking forward to seeing the transfers on this one, because RUK + CON + IND RT + SFP is 53.3% for the Right, so in theory a path was there for RUK or CON win, but didn't happen.

    Pre-election some had suggested I may have been wrong to have the SNP included in my three-way tossup call; vindication!
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 2 days

    Peterhead South and Cruden (Aberdeenshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    SNP: 742 (36.5%, -10.0)
    RUK: 465 (22.9%)
    CON: 432 (21.3%, -20.0)
    IND JR: 150 (7.4%)
    IND RT: 132 (6.5%)
    LD: 56 (2.8%, -9.4)
    SFP: 54 (2.7%)

    SNP elected stage TBC. (No chart as I'm in office for day job atm!)
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    By-election today for Aberdeenshire's Peterhead South and Cruden ward. A historic SNP stronghold, in an area that swung hard to the Conservatives then Reform = not the easiest outcome to predict!
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 6 days

    By-Election Result: George Street and Harbour

    An expectedly contrasting result within the Aberdeen South constituency has an easy SNP win, and Labour struggling to keep ahead of the Greens despite low turnout harming the latter.
Last updated 10 minutes ago

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