The second poll by the same pollster in quick succession finds very little different on election VI – but gives the largest lead for the Union in eight months.
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Poll Analysis: Survation 22nd of December 2022 – 1st of January 2023
The first poll of 2023 (okay, mostly 2022, but it ended this year…) finds very little change compared to the previous, though with enough of a small Conservative recovery to draw clearly back ahead of the Greens.
LE22: Constitutional Christmas Cracker
One final bonus piece of 2022 election coverage shows just how much of a political patchwork the Scottish electorate is, with precious few areas uncomplicatedly supportive of one bloc of parties or the other.
2022 in Review: Constitutional Polling
Scotland continues to go through unsettled constitutional times, as the year concludes with Independence in the lead following the Supreme Court judgement. There are challenges enough to go around for both sides on this front, as Scots oppose a “de facto referendum” yet think the Scottish Government should be able to call a real one.
2022 in Review: Parliamentary Polling
2022 started uncomfortably for the Conservatives and has ended miserably for them, as Labour have firmly moved back into second place. The SNP meanwhile experience a mild but typical mid-term slump that nonetheless translates to a majority, whilst the Greens experience a record streak of polling and Lib Dems flirt with a minor recovery.
Poll Analysis: Savanta 16th – 21st of December 2022
One final (hopefully) poll for 2022 bucks recent trends, giving a lead for the Union on the constitutional question and far less pain for the Conservatives than other pollsters.
2022 in Review: Council By-Elections
There’s not a lot to be gleaned from by-elections in a year where we had the full set, but what little data there is builds on polling trends showing Labour gaining at the Conservatives’ expense especially.
Poll Analysis (Lite): Panelbase 12th – 16th of December 2022
This is a gap-filler “lite” piece, in line with Ballot Box Scotland’s non-coverage policy for polls where the commissioning outlet has not published standard Holyrood VI at the same time as other VI.
Poll Analysis: YouGov 6th – 9th of December 2022
A fourth poll in a row gives Independence a slender advantage, alongside a projected SNP majority and the worst Holyrood poll of the term so far for the Conservatives.
By-Election Result: Mid Galloway and Wigtown West (2022)
An expected Conservative victory nonetheless bucks national polling trends, with the party gaining ground at the expense of the SNP and Labour despite collapse elsewhere.