The first of a double-whammy of polls, YouGov shows the currently standard SNP majority, with (relative to other pollsters) lows for Labour, Lib Dems and Greens.
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Survation, 28th of October – 4th of November 2020
Capping off an extremely busy week both for BBS content and for politics nerds in general, a rare Labour second place is the main story in this otherwise on-trend poll.
Kincorth/Nigg/Cove (Aberdeen) By-Election Result
A foregone conclusion for the SNP, perhaps the most interesting part of this by-election is that it raises the possibility Labour may lose their seat here in 2022, allowing the return of the 2012-17 Independent councillor Andy Finlayson.
Islands Act Boundary Reviews – Highland
Boundary changes are incoming for Councils that include inhabited islands as a result of the Islands Act. Highland is in for sweeping changes, but those result more from the Electoral Reform Act.
Islands Act Boundary Reviews – Argyll & Bute and North Ayrshire
Boundary changes are incoming for Councils that include inhabited islands as a result of the Islands Act. Here, we look at how Argyll & Bute and North Ayrshire may be affected.
Perth City (Perth and Kinross) By-Elections, 26/11/2020
A two-fer of Perth City By-Elections to (possibly) wrap up 2020’s by-elections. Expect the SNP to romp home in North, but South is a much more complex three-way split, with SNP and Lib Dems probably in a better position than the Conservatives.
North Lanarkshire By-Elections, 04/03/2021
Two by-elections, in two wards that have already had by-elections since 2017, with Labour capable of winning both, which would give them every councillor in both. Guys, this wasn’t how STV was meant to go.
Ellon and District (Aberdeenshire) By-Election Result
In the first party-political by-election anywhere in the UK since March, the SNP snatch a narrow surprise win over the Conservatives.
Ipsos MORI, 2nd-9th of October 2020
Starkly different to the overlapping ComRes poll, Ipsos MORI find a large SNP majority, grim results for Labour, and the highest support for Independence yet seen.
Craigentinny/Duddingston (Edinburgh) By-Election, 12/11/2020
Prompted by an SNP resignation, re-calculating 2017 has Labour close behind. Given each party’s current polling, odds are on the SNP coming out on top.