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Holyrood

Shetland (Scottish Parliament) By-Election, 29/08/19
Posted in
  • By-elections

Shetland (Scottish Parliament) By-Election, 29/08/19

In an unexpected turn of events, former Scottish Liberal Democrats leader Tavish Scott announced his resignation last month, prompting a by-election for the Shetland constituency.

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 22, 2019August 31, 2020
The 1999 Club
Posted in
  • Articles

The 1999 Club

For a little bonus post from Ballot Box Scotland, I’ve had a look at the class of 1999. Of the 129 MSPs elected to the first Scottish Parliament, 26 are still to be found in the Holyrood chamber today.

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 2, 2019August 31, 2020
Panelbase, 18th-20th June 2019
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Panelbase, 18th-20th June 2019

Panelbase and the Sunday Times seem to have settled into a pattern of monthly polling, with this June poll being their fourth month on the trot. We’re now at the point it’d be really quite lovely for another paper/pollster partnership to pop up and do so regularly, as Panelbase is now completely dominating the Scottish polling output.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 24, 2019August 31, 2020
Panelbase, 14th-17th May 2019
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Panelbase, 14th-17th May 2019

With just days to go until the EU Elections, Panelbase have stirred themselves into a second poll in pretty quick succession.

by Ballot Box Scotland•May 22, 2019August 31, 2020
YouGov, 23rd-25th April 2019
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

YouGov, 23rd-25th April 2019

After nearly a year’s absence, YouGov have finally re-emerged with an absolute peach of a Scottish poll. All three parliaments plus the first proper Independence VI since December, making it almost worth the wait.

by Ballot Box Scotland•May 1, 2019August 31, 2020
Panelbase, 18th-24th April 2019
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Panelbase, 18th-24th April 2019

Two Scottish polls along at once? Who would have thought it! Ah, right, everyone, because it keeps happening.

by Ballot Box Scotland•April 30, 2019August 31, 2020
Survation, 1st-4th March 2019
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Survation, 1st-4th March 2019

This Survation poll actually (mostly) predates the Panelbase, but seems to have been sat on for a week before details were published. Hence this appearing the day after the post about the later poll did. Confusing, right?

by Ballot Box Scotland•March 13, 2019August 31, 2020
Panelbase, 2nd-6th March 2019
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Panelbase, 2nd-6th March 2019

Two whole months plus one week into 2019 and we finally have some Scottish polling! Hurray! … Panelbase, 2nd-6th March 2019Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•March 12, 2019August 31, 2020
2018 in Review – Parliamentary Polling
Posted in
  • Annual Reviews

2018 in Review – Parliamentary Polling

Since it wouldn’t be representative either to take the last poll of the year or to just average out the whole thing, I’ll be comparing the last quarter of this year with the same period last year.

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 20, 2018December 28, 2020
Panelbase, 30th Nov-5th Dec 2018
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Panelbase, 30th Nov-5th Dec 2018

Panelbase, with these all these polls you’re really spoiling us. For the third month on the … Panelbase, 30th Nov-5th Dec 2018Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•December 11, 2018August 31, 2020

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    Larkhall is a slightly special case, but one of the bits I pick up in here is that whilst Reform beat the SNP and Labour came third, Labour would have beaten both the SNP (by 2%) and Reform (by 2.3%) in a head-to-head, because they were more transfer-attractive here than either party.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    By-Election Result: Larkhall

    Reform win their second ever by-election by displacing Labour in one of the most staunchly Pro-Union parts of the country.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Larkhall (South Lanarkshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    Reform UK: 1150 (35.2%, new)
    SNP: 975 (29.9%, +1.0)
    Labour: 799 (24.5%, -8.5)
    Conservative: 342 (10.5%, -14)

    Reform UK elected stage 4.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    I don't know why councils occasionally do this. It's not legal to get up on stage and go "The winning candidate won this many votes, now go away until tomorrow if you want anyone else's figures", so why are they not taking the few extra seconds to add everyone's votes or a photo of the declaration?
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-election underway for South Lanarkshire's Larkhall ward. After having failed one test last week, this is another key test of Reform's electability in a very different type of area they would expect to do well in. If they can't pull off a win, it'll almost certainly be Labour instead.
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