This is a lite analysis piece to ensure a poll with delayed publication at a busy time before an election isn’t ignored entirely, but also doesn’t take up time that would be better spent working on other things.
Holyrood
Poll Analysis: Savanta 24th – 28th of May 2024
The second Savanta poll in the space of a few weeks offers a Weird Burger, with some odd Holyrood numbers sandwiched between no change on the Westminster and Independence figures.
Poll Analysis: Survation 23rd – 27th of May 2024
The first full Scotland-only poll of the general election campaign will put even more of a spring in Scottish Labour’s step, but this isn’t the start John Swinney will have wanted to his time as First Minister.
Poll Analysis: YouGov 13th – 17th of May 2024
What is overall the best poll since BBS was established for Scottish Labour makes for grim reading for the SNP and Conservatives, whilst the Greens continue to vastly outperform against consistently flawed analysis of the party’s support base.
Poll Analysis: Savanta 3rd – 8th of May 2024
The worst poll since the Independence referendum for the SNP is the best for Labour, but the constitutional question itself remains significantly less volatile.
Scottish Parliament Boundary Review 2: Revised Proposals
Revised proposals for new Scottish Parliament constituencies no longer hand the SNP a notional 2021 majority, but demonstrate the incredible difficulty of getting seats around Glasgow and Edinburgh to make sense.
Poll Analysis: Norstat 30th of April – 3rd of May 2024
The first poll following Humza Yousaf’s resignation as First Minister makes for grim reading for his successor. A buoyant Labour Party seems reasonable, but some oddities here with Reform UK and Alba shares.
Poll Analysis: YouGov 26th – 29th of April 2024
In a highly comedic turn of events, a poll conducted at the height of Humza Yousaf’s final crisis-stricken days before resigning finds… statistically no change on the last poll, everything within margin of error. Ah, Scotland.
Poll Analysis: Norstat 9th – 12th of April 2024
An especially weak poll for the SNP also comes with surprising Labour slumps, with a perhaps rather unbelievable gain for the Lib Dems as a counterbalance.
Poll Analysis: YouGov 25th of March – 2nd of April 2024
The first BBS-tracked poll in two months will be difficult reading for both the SNP and Conservatives, whilst giving Labour reasons to be cheerful, and suggesting some perhaps exaggeratedly high Reform UK shares.