ComRes break ranks with every other pollster in a dramatic final poll that shows the SNP losing seats versus 2016, including key constituencies, whilst Labour have a rare increase in seats projected, and the Union firmly leads over Independence on that question.
Ipsos MORI form part of the general trend of projecting as SNP majorities, though it’d be close run. The Greens remain on a high, whilst the Lib Dems have their worst poll of this term, and the constitutional question is completely tied.
In their final poll, Opinium find themselves one of the most positive pollsters for both the SNP and Conservatives, whilst being more pessimistic about the Greens’ chances and finding the constitutional question a completely even split.
A rather belated release of data from Survation finally has them breaking their lonely trend of Labour placing second, slotting them third behind the Conservatives, whilst the SNP appear to fall short of a majority and Greens and Lib Dems score solid gains on 2016.
An infrequent but welcome addition to our polling, BMG have the constitutional question split right down the middle, but a clear majority for the SNP based on constituencies, foiling what should otherwise be a strong Lib Dem performance.
A second poll in as many days for Panelbase tells a very different story, with an SNP majority and comparatively weak results for the Greens and Labour, whilst the constitutional pendulum swings narrowly towards Independence.
Following just a week after the last one, ComRes continue to find SNP slippages, whilst the Greens and Labour move upwards, and the constitutional question shows the largest support for Union since December 2019.
Survation continue their trend of being the outlier putting Labour in second, with their best result since late 2018, whilst a low point for the SNP’s regional list vote may be rendered moot by a clear lead in constituencies.
YouGov find continuing growth for Labour and the Greens, whilst a big slide for the SNP on the list vote is offset by steady constituency figures, and the Union takes the strongest lead over Independence since 2019.
This poll finds the best result for the Conservatives and the Union in over a year, whilst the other Holyrood parties suffer and fringe parties seemingly surge – though Alba slips beneath the waves.
