Polling and Projections
YouGov, 24th-27th April 2020
The SSP thing is a weird YouGov blip, everyone, behave yourselves. […]
Westminster
Polling and Projections
Panelbase, 24th-26th Mar 2020
Much of our lives may be on hold as the globe grapples with the coronavirus pandemic, but in this time of great uncertainty we can at least rely on there being yet another Panelbase poll. […]
Annual Reviews
2019 in Review: All the Parliaments
It’s been a dramatic year in politics in the UK, and even going back to the start of the year feels like a completely different world. […]
UK General Election 2019
GE19 – The Difference a Boundary Makes
I’m back with one final GE19 post, this time on the effect of prospective new Scottish Westminster boundaries. Whether these boundaries are the ones we end up with for the next election or not, they are a reminder of the fundamentally undemocratic nature of FPTP. […]
Proportional Representation
Long Read – Ballot Box Britain: GE 2019 Under PR
Having worked out a simple PR model for the 2017 election just before GE19, it was easy to slot the numbers from this year in too. In an election notable for its tactical voting and heavily distorted result, I imagine a possible alternative to Westminster’s antiquated, unfair and fundamentally undemocratic voting system. […]
UK General Election 2019
GE19 – Out with the Old Battlegrounds, in with the New
We’ve gone from a whopping 46 marginal constituencies to just under half as many with a much more manageable 22. Whenever the next election rolls around, it now has a completely different set of key battlegrounds to the top 20 most marginal seats I covered in the run up to GE19. […]
UK General Election 2019
GE19 – Swing Cities
Now that we’ve seen the SNP vote rebound whilst the Conservatives slump and Labour collapse yet further, we have a whole new set of battlegrounds for next time. Before we get onto those in tomorrow’s post however, let’s take a quick look at the swings that have set them up […]
By-elections
GE19 – Bring on the By-Elections
For something a bit less numerically minded today, let’s look at one of the common consequences of parliamentary elections – council by-elections. […]
UK General Election 2019
GE19 – Where did the votes come from?
For the next round of analysis of the 2019 General Election result in Scotland, let’s take a look at each party’s share of votes across the country. […]
UK General Election 2019
GE19 – The Headline Results
The first UK General Election I ever voted in was 2010, and in Scotland it was an extremely boring affair. It really feels like every General Election since then has been making up for that boredom, and yesterday’s dramatic results were no different. […]