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Author: Ballot Box Scotland

By-Election Result: Mid-Formartine
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Mid-Formartine

An SNP vacancy opened the door for a broadly expected Conservative victory, in a typical Aberdeenshire by-election.

by Ballot Box Scotland•August 29, 2021August 29, 2021
Nobody puts the Liberal Democrats in the corner… Except for the Liberal Democrats
Posted in
  • Articles

Nobody puts the Liberal Democrats in the corner… Except for the Liberal Democrats

After a dismal decade, the Scottish Lib Dems have a new leader. But having made a strategic choice that has backed them into an electoral corner, can they regrow in time for 2026?

by Ballot Box Scotland•August 21, 2021August 20, 2021
By-Elections Results: Highland Double August 2021
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Elections Results: Highland Double August 2021

A double-dunter of Independent resignations led to a similar double for the Lib Dems, who picked up one expected and one surprise win.

by Ballot Box Scotland•August 15, 2021August 16, 2021
By-Election Result: Dalry and West Kilbride
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Dalry and West Kilbride

An easy victory for the Conservatives following an SNP vacancy in a ward that had been dominated by Independent candidates in 2017.

by Ballot Box Scotland•August 14, 2021
By-Election Result: East Livingston and East Calder
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: East Livingston and East Calder

A contest arising from the sad passing of a very long serving Labour councillor led to an unsurprising SNP victory, but surprise second place for Conservatives and growth for Greens.

by Ballot Box Scotland•August 6, 2021August 14, 2021
By-Election Preview: Mid-Formartine (Aberdeenshire) 19th of August 2021
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Mid-Formartine (Aberdeenshire) 19th of August 2021

An SNP Councillor becoming an MSP has triggered a by-election in a wad the Conservatives would have easily won in 2017 – but they could yet pull an Ellon and hold the seat.

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 16, 2021July 24, 2021
By-Election Preview: Dalry and West Kilbride (North Ayrshire) 12th of August 2021
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Dalry and West Kilbride (North Ayrshire) 12th of August 2021

An SNP resignation triggers an unpredictable contest in a ward that was remarkably Independent-leaning for a Central Belt ward in 2017.

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 11, 2021August 13, 2021
By-Election Preview: Wick and East Caithness (Highland) 12th of August 2021
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Wick and East Caithness (Highland) 12th of August 2021

A second Highland by-election in the one day prompted by an Independent resignation, this may have opened the way for a former Independent councillor to return.

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 10, 2021July 11, 2021
By-Election Preview: Inverness West (Highland) 12th of August 2021
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Inverness West (Highland) 12th of August 2021

Following the resignation of an Independent, the Lib Dems would appear on 2017 results to be favourites in this by election. But can they count on a party vote, or is their serving councillor elected on a personal basis?

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 9, 2021July 10, 2021
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 16th – 24th of June 2021
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Panelbase 16th – 24th of June 2021

The first full Scottish poll since May’s election has very little to get excited about. All swings are within margin of error, as is the constitutional question, though the trend is now consistently pro-Union.

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 6, 2021July 7, 2021

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 18 hours

    Headline here is about Highland's licensing committee but one of these four, Wick and East Caithness Independent councillor Willie MacKay, has also quit as councillor entirely, continuing Highland Council's almost permanent election footing.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    By-Election Result: Peterhead South and Cruden

    Reform struggle in their strongest Holyrood patch, falling behind the Conservatives at the final stage against the ultimately victorious SNP.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Looking forward to seeing the transfers on this one, because RUK + CON + IND RT + SFP is 53.3% for the Right, so in theory a path was there for RUK or CON win, but didn't happen.

    Pre-election some had suggested I may have been wrong to have the SNP included in my three-way tossup call; vindication!
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Peterhead South and Cruden (Aberdeenshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    SNP: 742 (36.5%, -10.0)
    RUK: 465 (22.9%)
    CON: 432 (21.3%, -20.0)
    IND JR: 150 (7.4%)
    IND RT: 132 (6.5%)
    LD: 56 (2.8%, -9.4)
    SFP: 54 (2.7%)

    SNP elected stage TBC. (No chart as I'm in office for day job atm!)
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-election today for Aberdeenshire's Peterhead South and Cruden ward. A historic SNP stronghold, in an area that swung hard to the Conservatives then Reform = not the easiest outcome to predict!
Last updated 10 minutes ago

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