Scotland came into the election with 16 marginal seats, and has left with the same number – though only 12 are the same seats. Tactical voting was a story of the election, and seems to have benefitted Labour and Lib Dems more than Conservatives.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
By-Election Preview: Murdostoun (North Lanarkshire) 24th of June 2021
The sad passing of a very well respected local Independent triggers an unpredictable contest, with his son seeking to keep the seat in the family, against relatively evenly matched SNP and Labour candidacies.
SP21 – Swings and Roundabouts
An election that saw very few seats change hands nonetheless exposed fascinating patterns of shifting party support across Scotland.
By-Election Preview: East Garioch (Aberdeenshire) 17th of June 2021
Following the sad passing of the ward’s Lib Dem councillor, the Conservatives would seem most likely to emerge on top, given their first place in 2017 and other recent elections.
SP21 – Where The Votes Came From
The first in a series of deeper dives into the Holyrood results, this piece looks at how each party’s vote share was spread across the country.
Airdrie & Shotts By-Election Result
Following on from last week’s Holyrood election, Scotland’s first Westminster by-election in a decade was a very muted affair, giving an expected SNP victory, though with Labour closing the gap.
Forth & Endrick By-Election Result
Somewhat overshadowed by the Holyrood election, a by-election in rural Stirling delivered an expected Conservative victory, though with the SNP running them close.
SP21 – The Headline Results
With the Holyrood election finally done and dusted, the work begins on digging into the detail of what happened. In this first post-election piece, we start wih the headline figures for each party.
SP21 – Final Ballot Box Scotland Projection
Polling day is finally here! That means it’s time to take one final look at where polling ended up, and how seats could shake out. Warning: if you’re after absolute certainties, you won’t find them here.
Poll Analysis: Survation 30th of April – 4th of May 2021
In the last polling analysis piece of the election, Survation have a narrow SNP majority and an equally narrow Conservative lead over Labour, and add to the stream of polls showing the constitutional pendulum swinging back towards Union.