After an almost status quo debut, Opinium’s second poll indicates a big SNP majority, whilst Alba record their worst result since launching. Independence is still, you guessed it, on a knife-edge.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
Poll Analysis: Ipsos MORI 29th of March – 4th of April 2021
In the third poll since Alba’s launch, they make barely a splash. Instead, the SNP could be on course for a large majority despite a much reduced list vote, whilst the Greens record a joint-best result of the term, and Labour bounce back from one of their lowest shares.
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 30th of March – 1st of April 2021
In the most eye-catching Scottish poll this Holyrood term, remarkably strong showings for Alba and All for Unity could see two new parties with seats in the chamber. A narrow SNP majority and equally narrow lead for Independence also feature.
SP21 – Ballot Box Battlegrounds 12-9
#12 – Edinburgh Western
#11 – Edinburgh Pentlands
#10 – Galloway and West Dumfries
#9 – Eastwood
Poll Analysis: Survation, 29th – 30th of March 2021
Alba’s first appearance on the polling scene makes more of a ripple than a wave, whilst the issue of Independence is deadlocked at 50:50.
SP21 – The Candidate Bonanza Coming to a Ballot Near You
As the starting gun is fired for the last stretch of the Scottish Parliament campaign, BBS breaks down the whopping 808 candidates in the running for Holyrood’s 129 seats.
SP21 – Ballot Box Battlegrounds 16-13
#16 – Perthshire North
#15 – Moray
#14 – Aberdeen South and North Kincardine
#13 – Angus North and Mearns
Forth and Endrick (Stirling) By-Election, 06/05/2021
Falling on the same day as the Holyrood vote, this by-election in a rural Stirling ward is likely to go the Conservatives way.
SP21 Party Profile – Scottish National Party
By far the dominant political force in Scotland for the past decade, nothing so far suggests 2021 will be any different. However, recent polling is divided on whether the party will regain the majority it lost in 2016, and the impact of the Alba Party remains to be seen.
Poll Analysis: Find Out Now 23rd – 26th of March 2021
We’ve got another new pollster on the scene, who suggest big wins for the SNP and Greens, versus the poorest performances this month for Labour and the Lib Dems. They also find a narrow lead for Independence, as Scotland continues to inhabit the constitutional margin of error.