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By-elections

By-Election Result: Inverness Central 2024
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  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Inverness Central 2024

Labour manage to squeeze out a last-round win over the SNP, as bad blood between the Pro-Independence parties costs the SNP too much Green support to hold on.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 1, 2024September 29, 2024
By-Election Result: Cromarty Firth
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  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Cromarty Firth

A rare double vacancy saw a messy scrap for the seats with the Lib Dems and an Independent eventually emerging victorious. Meanwhile, might Reform UK have learned that Scotland is different to England?

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 30, 2024September 29, 2024
By-Election Result: Strathallan
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  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Strathallan

The Lib Dems land a big win in a by-election that demonstrates the clear value of having a fair voting system.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 29, 2024September 29, 2024
By-Election Result: Perth City North 2024
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By-Election Result: Perth City North 2024

The SNP manage an easy victory in a by-election they couldn’t afford to lose, and where the three biggest parties bleed varying degrees of support to the smaller ones.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 28, 2024September 28, 2024
By-Election Preview: Falkirk South (Falkirk) 17th of October 2024
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By-Election Preview: Falkirk South (Falkirk) 17th of October 2024

The election of the country’s youngest MP offers the opportunity for Labour to leapfrog into victory from third place in this ward.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 19, 2024December 3, 2024
By-Election Result: Arran
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  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Arran

A contest between three on-island candidates and three off-island no hopers saw Labour emerge victorious, in a by-election notable by the absence of the SNP.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 16, 2024December 16, 2024
By-Election Preview: Mossend and Holytown (North Lanarkshire) 10th of October 2024
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By-Election Preview: Mossend and Holytown (North Lanarkshire) 10th of October 2024

Another by-election following a Labour councillor making the jump to Westminster, something would have to go very wrong for them not to win this one.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 11, 2024September 10, 2024
By-Election Preview: Fortissat (North Lanarkshire) 10th of October 2024
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By-Election Preview: Fortissat (North Lanarkshire) 10th of October 2024

A Labour vacancy in a ward that’s never had anything but a Labour lead is guaranteed to go there way. What’ll be interesting here is the performance of the harder-line Pro-Union party.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 10, 2024September 9, 2024
By-Election Preview: Strathmartine (Dundee) 3rd of October 2024
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By-Election Preview: Strathmartine (Dundee) 3rd of October 2024

The departure of the council leader leaves the SNP’s majority hanging in the balance, with their best hope of preserving it to upend over a decade of electoral strategy and abandon the other by-election as lost.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 3, 2024September 3, 2024
By-Election Preview: Lochee (Dundee) 3rd of October 2024
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By-Election Preview: Lochee (Dundee) 3rd of October 2024

The sad passing of a Labour councillor is likely to be followed by the election of a party colleague, as a narrow SNP lead in 2022 is unlikely to weather the political changes since.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 2, 2024September 3, 2024

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    Larkhall is a slightly special case, but one of the bits I pick up in here is that whilst Reform beat the SNP and Labour came third, Labour would have beaten both the SNP (by 2%) and Reform (by 2.3%) in a head-to-head, because they were more transfer-attractive here than either party.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    By-Election Result: Larkhall

    Reform win their second ever by-election by displacing Labour in one of the most staunchly Pro-Union parts of the country.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Larkhall (South Lanarkshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    Reform UK: 1150 (35.2%, new)
    SNP: 975 (29.9%, +1.0)
    Labour: 799 (24.5%, -8.5)
    Conservative: 342 (10.5%, -14)

    Reform UK elected stage 4.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    I don't know why councils occasionally do this. It's not legal to get up on stage and go "The winning candidate won this many votes, now go away until tomorrow if you want anyone else's figures", so why are they not taking the few extra seconds to add everyone's votes or a photo of the declaration?
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-election underway for South Lanarkshire's Larkhall ward. After having failed one test last week, this is another key test of Reform's electability in a very different type of area they would expect to do well in. If they can't pull off a win, it'll almost certainly be Labour instead.
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