The departure of a very long-serving SNP councillor has this ward as a knife-edge contest between his party and Labour. By-election demographics might favour Labour, recent polling the SNP.
By-elections
Aird and Loch Ness (Highland) By-Election, 11/03/2021
The first of a trio of by-elections due on the 11th, the untimely passing of the Conservative councillor here results in a highly unpredictable competition. Could go any of Con/SNP/Ind/LD!
Perth City By-Election Results
We finished off 2020’s by-elections with two in Perth – an SNP blowout in the North, and the Lib Dems emerging triumphant from the three-way scrap in South.
Clackmannanshire East By-Election Result
What had been three expected by-elections became one at the last minute, which saw the Conservatives emerge victorious on a rare win by first preferences alone.
Craigentinny/Duddingston (Edinburgh) By-Election Result
An easy SNP victory in this ward, though without the bump in support current polling might have suggested. Instead, the Greens and Lib Dems were the parties picking up big increases in support.
Kincorth/Nigg/Cove (Aberdeen) By-Election Result
A foregone conclusion for the SNP, perhaps the most interesting part of this by-election is that it raises the possibility Labour may lose their seat here in 2022, allowing the return of the 2012-17 Independent councillor Andy Finlayson.
Perth City (Perth and Kinross) By-Elections, 26/11/2020
A two-fer of Perth City By-Elections to (possibly) wrap up 2020’s by-elections. Expect the SNP to romp home in North, but South is a much more complex three-way split, with SNP and Lib Dems probably in a better position than the Conservatives.
North Lanarkshire By-Elections, 04/03/2021
Two by-elections, in two wards that have already had by-elections since 2017, with Labour capable of winning both, which would give them every councillor in both. Guys, this wasn’t how STV was meant to go.
Ellon and District (Aberdeenshire) By-Election Result
In the first party-political by-election anywhere in the UK since March, the SNP snatch a narrow surprise win over the Conservatives.
Craigentinny/Duddingston (Edinburgh) By-Election, 12/11/2020
Prompted by an SNP resignation, re-calculating 2017 has Labour close behind. Given each party’s current polling, odds are on the SNP coming out on top.