Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Ipsos 28th of November – 5th of December 2022

A dramatic poll suggest both the highest Independence support since last year’s Holyrood election, and enough support for the SNP to win a mooted “de facto referendum” Westminster election with a vote majority. Strong polling for Labour and the Greens contrasts with yet more evidence of Conservative collapse. […]

Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: YouGov 30th of September – 4th of October 2022

One of a trio of polls that all appeared at once, this shows the strongest figures for the SNP and weakest for the Conservatives, suggesting a Holyrood majority for the former and complete Westminster wipeout for the latter. Meanwhile, Scots continue to make the constitution dull as dishwater. […]

Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 28th – 29th of September 2022

As is tradition, we wait for two weeks of intense, dramatic UK political events before we get any Scotland-only polls, and three come along at once. The first of these to finish fieldwork finds hands down the strongest Labour figures since before the 2015 General Election, and Greens tied on seats with the Conservatives. […]