A dramatic poll showing an Independence lead cuts a stark contrast to the Union-leaning stasis of other pollsters. The leading parties in that bloc also see themselves with positive vote figures, with only the Lib Dems finding any cheer amongst a grim poll for pro-Union parties.
YouGov’s first post-election poll has bad news for the Conservatives but happier tidings for the Greens and Lib Dems, alongside some very interesting findings on a multi question constitutional referendum.
This week’s rummage in the 2017 archives brings us to another ward that has had two by-elections in this term, when a Conservative councillor resigned early on, for grim reasons.
I’m taking one small step for polling, one giant leap for Ballot Box Scotland by launching a dedicated crowdfunder to expand my coverage ahead of the 2022 Local Elections, to fund a poll and a series of articles.
Though polling hasn’t yet strayed much from May’s election results, the oscillation here gives strong figures for the SNP, Greens and Lib Dems, whilst showing the Conservatives in their weakest position of the term thus far.
This early-term by-election followed a remarkable hat trick for a Conservative who was elected councillor, councillor again, then MP all within the space of a year.
The most surprising of our end of term by-elections comes from a last-minute resignation, where the Conservatives seem the clear favourites, with their only real challengers likely to be an Independent.
The first of a spate of “councillor elected in May becomes an MP in June” by-elections back in 2017 saw a popular Lib Dem pave the way for the speedy return of a local Independent.
This by-election has been cancelled! A fitting end to what was quite a saga.
For this dip into the archives, we look at the Curious Case of the Conservative Councillor Who (C)Wasn’t, which led to a dramatic but ultimately pointless little success story for a minor party.
