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Panelbase

Poll Analysis (Lite): Panelbase 7th – 11th of October 2022
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  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis (Lite): Panelbase 7th – 11th of October 2022

This is a gap-filler “lite” piece, in line with Ballot Box Scotland’s non-coverage policy for polls where the commissioning outlet has not published standard Holyrood VI at the same time as other VI.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 8, 2022April 2, 2023
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 17th – 19th of August 2022
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  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Panelbase 17th – 19th of August 2022

Expect this to be the last analysis piece for a Panelbase/Sunday Times poll, unless and until the Sunday Times sort out their bizarre refusal to publicly report Holyrood figures.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 3, 2022September 3, 2022
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Panelbase 29th of June – 1st of July 2022

An extremely delayed release of data for this poll means this is an extremely light-touch piece, published on the 28th of August only so there is no gap in my record.

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 8, 2022September 3, 2022
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 26th – 29th of April 2022
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  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Panelbase 26th – 29th of April 2022

A no-frills analysis piece with no actual analysis, just to make sure there’s no gap in the record! (This is due to full publication of the poll data taking a very long time, and being consumed by local election coverage.)

by Ballot Box Scotland•May 13, 2022May 13, 2022
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 9th – 12th of November 2021
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Panelbase 9th – 12th of November 2021

Though polling hasn’t yet strayed much from May’s election results, the oscillation here gives strong figures for the SNP, Greens and Lib Dems, whilst showing the Conservatives in their weakest position of the term thus far.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 19, 2021December 20, 2021
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 6th – 10th of September 2021
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  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Panelbase 6th – 10th of September 2021

In a poll that slipped under the radar like an Australian nuclear submarine, the Lib Dems may be seeing faint stirrings of recovery, whilst it’s Brexit 2: Those Numbers Boogaloo as the constitutional question seemingly settles into a 52:48 split in favour of the union.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 21, 2021December 20, 2021
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 16th – 24th of June 2021
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  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Panelbase 16th – 24th of June 2021

The first full Scottish poll since May’s election has very little to get excited about. All swings are within margin of error, as is the constitutional question, though the trend is now consistently pro-Union.

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 6, 2021July 7, 2021
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 28th – 30th of April 2021
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Panelbase 28th – 30th of April 2021

A second poll in as many days for Panelbase tells a very different story, with an SNP majority and comparatively weak results for the Greens and Labour, whilst the constitutional pendulum swings narrowly towards Independence.

by Ballot Box Scotland•May 2, 2021May 2, 2021
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 21st – 26th of April 2021
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Panelbase 21st – 26th of April 2021

Panelbase continue their unique streak of finding Alba twice as strong as anyone else, whilst the weakest overall poll for the SNP this year projects to them losing seats versus 2016.

by Ballot Box Scotland•April 27, 2021May 2, 2021
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 9th – 12th of April 2021
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Panelbase 9th – 12th of April 2021

In a second post-Alba outing for Panelbase, they continue to be the outlier in finding notable levels of support, whilst the SNP fall short of a majority and Independence squeaks a narrow lead.

by Ballot Box Scotland•April 14, 2021

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  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 hours

    New Scotland Only Westminster poll, Norstat 27-29 May (vs 27-30 Apr):

    SNP ~ 34% (+5)
    RUK ~ 17% (-1)
    LAB ~ 16% (-3)
    CON ~ 10% (-4)
    GRN ~ 10% (+2)
    LD ~ 9% (-1)

    No Holyrood figures in this (for a mercy from my perspective of "do I have the time"...)
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 1 day

    Two by-elections coming up in Edinburgh following resignation as councillor of SNP MSPs Simita Kumar (in Southside and Newington, now Edinburgh South Western) and Kate Campbell (in Portobello and Craigmillar, now Edinburgh Eastern, Musselburgh and Tranent)

    theedinburghreporter.co.uk/2026/06/two-...
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 2 days

    Peterhead South and Cruden by-election on the 2nd of July has four of the Holyrood parties (no Labour or Green), plus two Independents and the Family party. This could be a very interesting one to watch, given most of the ward is in the Banffshire and Buchan Coast Holyrood constituency...
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    As part of the ongoing Ballot Box Scotland crusade against deposits (which has been going on since the project was set up in 2018!), I've made a very, very, VERY simple example of what a signature based system of ballot access could look like instead from a voter's perspective

    test.ballotbox.scot
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    SP26: Switching up the System

    Following the most disproportionate result in Holyrood's history, it's high time we started thinking about how to do things differently, and what would be most effective.
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