Though the polls included in the BBS average may slightly exaggerate support for Independence, however you slice it support for that option is running ahead of support for the parties advocating it. This could have interesting consequences down the line. […]
An unexpectedly chaotic year for the SNP started with Nicola Sturgeon’s shock resignation, and ends with Labour nipping at their heels in both parliaments. […]
2023’s Annual Reviews are slightly later than the past couple of years, falling in the hazy lull in between Christmas and New Year, after I got burned with late poll releases both years. However unless someone is holding back a […]
A third vote in less then two years for this ward, the Conservatives won a March 2023 by-election here so it’s hard to envision them not winning a January 2024 one. […]
Ipsos continue to paint a slightly different picture to other pollsters, with higher support for the SNP leading to a continued SNP-Green majority at Holyrood, and a lead for Independence. The Lib Dems end up the big Holyrood gainers in this poll, whilst it’s bad news all round for the Conservatives. […]
Labour sweep to an easy victory in their first proper (nuances of STV in mind) council-level victory over the SNP since the change in First Minister, whilst a Conservative collapse put the Greens within touching distance of third place. […]
The third and final Scoop of 2023 continues to show a very strong Labour performance at Westminster, whilst the SNP’s Holyrood lead withers to almost nothing. The constitutional question is also a lot less closely run than in other recent polls, sitting at status quo 2014. […]
An Independent storms to victory to succeed her father, whilst the SNP and Conservatives slump to record lows in the ward. […]
The first fully post-Rutherglen poll has everything – Holyrood, Westminster and the Constitution – on an absolute knife edge, though in seat terms both parliaments would be headed for a significant Pro-Union parties majority. […]
The first genuine SNP vs Labour defence at council level of the year looks set to be another Labour victory, on a council the SNP have hardly had their troubles to seek over the past 18 months. […]
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