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Author: Ballot Box Scotland

Scottish Parliament Boundary Review 2: Ballot Box Scotland Proposals
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  • Boundary Reviews

Scottish Parliament Boundary Review 2: Ballot Box Scotland Proposals

Given my dissatisfaction with many of the proposals put forward by Boundaries Scotland, it made sense to give my alternative proposals a detailed airing in their own piece – which you can use to back me up in your own consultation response!

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 6, 2024October 6, 2024
Scottish Parliament Boundary Review 2: Further Revised Proposals
Posted in
  • Boundary Reviews

Scottish Parliament Boundary Review 2: Further Revised Proposals

A third pass at constituencies and first go at regions includes some absolutely egregious examples of why First Past the Post and an obsession with equal sizing of electoral units is bad for sensible representation.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 6, 2024October 6, 2024
By-Election Result: Lochee
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Lochee

A Dundee double for the SNP proved a complete shocker for Labour in a ward they should have found easy pickings given the current political climate.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 5, 2024December 16, 2024
By-Election Result: Strathmartine
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Strathmartine

The resignation of the leader of the only SNP majority council in Scotland risked being a blow for the party; yet in a stunning double win off the back of a Labour fumble and Lib Dem gains, that majority emerged stronger.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 5, 2024October 4, 2024
By-Election Result: Inverness Central 2024
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Inverness Central 2024

Labour manage to squeeze out a last-round win over the SNP, as bad blood between the Pro-Independence parties costs the SNP too much Green support to hold on.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 1, 2024September 29, 2024
By-Election Result: Cromarty Firth
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Cromarty Firth

A rare double vacancy saw a messy scrap for the seats with the Lib Dems and an Independent eventually emerging victorious. Meanwhile, might Reform UK have learned that Scotland is different to England?

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 30, 2024September 29, 2024
By-Election Result: Strathallan
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Strathallan

The Lib Dems land a big win in a by-election that demonstrates the clear value of having a fair voting system.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 29, 2024September 29, 2024
By-Election Result: Perth City North 2024
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Perth City North 2024

The SNP manage an easy victory in a by-election they couldn’t afford to lose, and where the three biggest parties bleed varying degrees of support to the smaller ones.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 28, 2024September 28, 2024
Poll Analysis: Survation 10th – 13th of September 2024
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 10th – 13th of September 2024

A second Survation poll in as many weeks, but commissioned by a firm on the other side of the constitutional aisle to the last, should put the “polling only says what the people paying for it want!” gang’s gas at a peep.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 22, 2024September 22, 2024
Poll Analysis: Opinium 5th -11th of September 2024
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Opinium 5th -11th of September 2024

A bombshell poll from infrequent pollsters Opinium giving the SNP a much healthier lead than would be expected under current circumstances, and Reform UK the status as third party, doesn’t pass the smell test in my view.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 21, 2024September 21, 2024

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 13 hours

    Headline here is about Highland's licensing committee but one of these four, Wick and East Caithness Independent councillor Willie MacKay, has also quit as councillor entirely, continuing Highland Council's almost permanent election footing.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    By-Election Result: Peterhead South and Cruden

    Reform struggle in their strongest Holyrood patch, falling behind the Conservatives at the final stage against the ultimately victorious SNP.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Looking forward to seeing the transfers on this one, because RUK + CON + IND RT + SFP is 53.3% for the Right, so in theory a path was there for RUK or CON win, but didn't happen.

    Pre-election some had suggested I may have been wrong to have the SNP included in my three-way tossup call; vindication!
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Peterhead South and Cruden (Aberdeenshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    SNP: 742 (36.5%, -10.0)
    RUK: 465 (22.9%)
    CON: 432 (21.3%, -20.0)
    IND JR: 150 (7.4%)
    IND RT: 132 (6.5%)
    LD: 56 (2.8%, -9.4)
    SFP: 54 (2.7%)

    SNP elected stage TBC. (No chart as I'm in office for day job atm!)
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-election today for Aberdeenshire's Peterhead South and Cruden ward. A historic SNP stronghold, in an area that swung hard to the Conservatives then Reform = not the easiest outcome to predict!

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