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Author: Ballot Box Scotland

By-Election Result: Cromarty Firth
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Cromarty Firth

A rare double vacancy saw a messy scrap for the seats with the Lib Dems and an Independent eventually emerging victorious. Meanwhile, might Reform UK have learned that Scotland is different to England?

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 30, 2024September 29, 2024
By-Election Result: Strathallan
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Strathallan

The Lib Dems land a big win in a by-election that demonstrates the clear value of having a fair voting system.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 29, 2024September 29, 2024
By-Election Result: Perth City North 2024
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Perth City North 2024

The SNP manage an easy victory in a by-election they couldn’t afford to lose, and where the three biggest parties bleed varying degrees of support to the smaller ones.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 28, 2024September 28, 2024
Poll Analysis: Survation 10th – 13th of September 2024
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 10th – 13th of September 2024

A second Survation poll in as many weeks, but commissioned by a firm on the other side of the constitutional aisle to the last, should put the “polling only says what the people paying for it want!” gang’s gas at a peep.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 22, 2024September 22, 2024
Poll Analysis: Opinium 5th -11th of September 2024
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Opinium 5th -11th of September 2024

A bombshell poll from infrequent pollsters Opinium giving the SNP a much healthier lead than would be expected under current circumstances, and Reform UK the status as third party, doesn’t pass the smell test in my view.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 21, 2024September 21, 2024
By-Election Preview: Falkirk South (Falkirk) 17th of October 2024
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Falkirk South (Falkirk) 17th of October 2024

The election of the country’s youngest MP offers the opportunity for Labour to leapfrog into victory from third place in this ward.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 19, 2024December 3, 2024
Long Read: A Decade on from the IndyRef, Challenges Abound for Everyone
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  • Articles

Long Read: A Decade on from the IndyRef, Challenges Abound for Everyone

Ten years after the referendum that changed Scotland, BBS takes a look at the polling over that time, as well as thoughts on the challenges ahead for both camps.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 18, 2024September 18, 2024
By-Election Result: Arran
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Arran

A contest between three on-island candidates and three off-island no hopers saw Labour emerge victorious, in a by-election notable by the absence of the SNP.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 16, 2024December 16, 2024
Poll Analysis: Survation 27th – 29th of August 2024
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 27th – 29th of August 2024

The second poll since the General Election suggests that the three big parties are set to suffer at Holyrood, including the worst figures for Conservatives this term, whilst the three smaller parties (including new-ish kids on the block Reform UK) make significant gains.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 12, 2024September 11, 2024
By-Election Preview: Mossend and Holytown (North Lanarkshire) 10th of October 2024
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Mossend and Holytown (North Lanarkshire) 10th of October 2024

Another by-election following a Labour councillor making the jump to Westminster, something would have to go very wrong for them not to win this one.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 11, 2024September 10, 2024

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  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 8 hours

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿SCOTLAND SCOTLAND SCOTLAND🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

    Tell ye's what that was vastly more stressful than watching election results come in
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 20 hours

    The scenes we saw in Glasgow earlier this week, as racists took to the streets to intimidate and threaten ethnic minority Glaswegians were despicable, and this afternoon we showed a tiny, outnumbered crowd of bigots that we don't want their hatred in our city.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    Edinburgh by-elections due on the 3rd of September. In 2022, Labour beat Greens by 2% after transfers. Given what happened last month, Greens should surely be ahead. If they win, that'd be only their second by-election win ever. Curveball: Lib Dems have a formidable local machine.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-Election Preview: Larkhall (South Lanarkshire) 9th of July 2026

    A by-election in a staunchly Pro-Union part of the country is a huge opportunity for Reform to score a win, though Labour will benefit more from SNP transfer flows.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 6 days

    By-Election Preview: Peterhead South and Cruden (Aberdeenshire) 2nd of July 2026

    A messy vote in a historic SNP heartland, where the Conservatives made stunning inroads post-IndyRef, and Reform lead on one of the votes last month. A tossup between all three, then?

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