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Author: Ballot Box Scotland

By-Election Preview: Kilmarnock West and Crosshouse (East Ayrshire) 14th of November 2024
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  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Kilmarnock West and Crosshouse (East Ayrshire) 14th of November 2024

A relatively quiet ballot by current standards, the SNP have long been strong in Kilmarnock but in this ward have gradually lost support over the years; that may ease Labour’s path to victory.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 17, 2024October 16, 2024
By-Election Preview: Doon Valley (East Ayrshire) 14th of November 2024
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Doon Valley (East Ayrshire) 14th of November 2024

Sometimes, by-election predictions are very simple. This is one such case. Labour will win.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 16, 2024October 14, 2024
By-Election Preview: Colinton and Fairmilehead (Edinburgh) 14th of November 2024
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  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Colinton and Fairmilehead (Edinburgh) 14th of November 2024

A typically busy Edinburgh by-election ballot has Labour attempting to get a former councillor and MP back in office after a ban on such returns was abolished, but they possibly face a strong challenge from the Lib Dems.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 15, 2024January 24, 2025
By-Election Result: Mossend and Holytown
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Mossend and Holytown

Labour manage another entirely expected win, amidst truly dire turnout and a demographically unsurprising result for Reform UK that could see them with a councillor here at a full election.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 13, 2024October 13, 2024
By-Election Result: Fortissat 2024
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  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Fortissat 2024

An expected Labour victory in one of Scotland’s most peculiar wards comes alongside a very strong result for a newly formed local party that may set them up for future success.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 12, 2024October 11, 2024
By-Election Preview: Elgin City South (Moray) 7th of November 2024
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  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Elgin City South (Moray) 7th of November 2024

Ward Profile Cause of By-Election Although the circumstances for this by-election aren’t uncommon at the moment … By-Election Preview: Elgin City South (Moray) 7th of November 2024Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 11, 2024October 11, 2024
By-Election Preview: Inverclyde West 7th of November 2024
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Inverclyde West 7th of November 2024

This ward loves an Independent, but it doesn’t have one on the ballot this time, so Labour are very unlikely to be seriously challenged for the win here.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 10, 2024October 10, 2024
By-Election Preview: Mearns (Aberdeenshire) 7th of November 2024
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  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Mearns (Aberdeenshire) 7th of November 2024

The Conservatives should again be the favourites in the third and final of the Aberdeenshire trio, though it’s always hard to say at the moment when it’s between them and the SNP.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 9, 2024October 7, 2024
By-Election Preview: Fraserburgh and District (Aberdeenshire) 7th of November 2024
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  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Fraserburgh and District (Aberdeenshire) 7th of November 2024

100th council by-election preview on BBS! The Conservatives should theoretically be in line to win here, but keep an eye on Reform UK for a strong result that could indicate councillors in 2027.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 8, 2024November 8, 2024
By-Election Preview: Central Buchan (Aberdeenshire) 7th of November 2024
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  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Central Buchan (Aberdeenshire) 7th of November 2024

A trio of SNP resignations in Aberdeenshire could see a trio of Conservatives in their place, though with both parties weakened it’s hard to say for sure. But hang on, why aren’t Alba standing in Alex Salmond’s ward?

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 7, 2024October 12, 2024

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 12 hours

    Headline here is about Highland's licensing committee but one of these four, Wick and East Caithness Independent councillor Willie MacKay, has also quit as councillor entirely, continuing Highland Council's almost permanent election footing.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    By-Election Result: Peterhead South and Cruden

    Reform struggle in their strongest Holyrood patch, falling behind the Conservatives at the final stage against the ultimately victorious SNP.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Looking forward to seeing the transfers on this one, because RUK + CON + IND RT + SFP is 53.3% for the Right, so in theory a path was there for RUK or CON win, but didn't happen.

    Pre-election some had suggested I may have been wrong to have the SNP included in my three-way tossup call; vindication!
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Peterhead South and Cruden (Aberdeenshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    SNP: 742 (36.5%, -10.0)
    RUK: 465 (22.9%)
    CON: 432 (21.3%, -20.0)
    IND JR: 150 (7.4%)
    IND RT: 132 (6.5%)
    LD: 56 (2.8%, -9.4)
    SFP: 54 (2.7%)

    SNP elected stage TBC. (No chart as I'm in office for day job atm!)
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-election today for Aberdeenshire's Peterhead South and Cruden ward. A historic SNP stronghold, in an area that swung hard to the Conservatives then Reform = not the easiest outcome to predict!
Last updated 10 minutes ago

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