The election of the country’s youngest MP offers the opportunity for Labour to leapfrog into victory from third place in this ward.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
Long Read: A Decade on from the IndyRef, Challenges Abound for Everyone
Ten years after the referendum that changed Scotland, BBS takes a look at the polling over that time, as well as thoughts on the challenges ahead for both camps.
By-Election Result: Arran
A contest between three on-island candidates and three off-island no hopers saw Labour emerge victorious, in a by-election notable by the absence of the SNP.
Poll Analysis: Survation 27th – 29th of August 2024
The second poll since the General Election suggests that the three big parties are set to suffer at Holyrood, including the worst figures for Conservatives this term, whilst the three smaller parties (including new-ish kids on the block Reform UK) make significant gains.
By-Election Preview: Mossend and Holytown (North Lanarkshire) 10th of October 2024
Another by-election following a Labour councillor making the jump to Westminster, something would have to go very wrong for them not to win this one.
By-Election Preview: Fortissat (North Lanarkshire) 10th of October 2024
A Labour vacancy in a ward that’s never had anything but a Labour lead is guaranteed to go there way. What’ll be interesting here is the performance of the harder-line Pro-Union party.
By-Election Preview: Strathmartine (Dundee) 3rd of October 2024
The departure of the council leader leaves the SNP’s majority hanging in the balance, with their best hope of preserving it to upend over a decade of electoral strategy and abandon the other by-election as lost.
By-Election Preview: Lochee (Dundee) 3rd of October 2024
The sad passing of a Labour councillor is likely to be followed by the election of a party colleague, as a narrow SNP lead in 2022 is unlikely to weather the political changes since.
By-Election Preview: Perth City North (Perth and Kinross) 26th of September 2024
A freshly elected Labour MP leaves a vacancy in one of the SNP’s strongest wards, which means it looks likely that despite their woes the SNP will be able to pick up the seat. That’ll give them every seat in the ward which defeats the point of STV!
Poll Analysis: Norstat 20th – 22nd of August 2024
The first Scotland-only poll since the UK election shows big gains for Reform UK and suggests an extremely difficult landscape to navigate at Holyrood, though a house effect is likely exaggerating Alba support.