An already likely to be hotly-contested island by-election becomes one of the most fascinating contests of the year, as the complete absence of the SNP blows the field wide open – including, potentially, for the Greens’ second-ever by-election win.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
By-Election Preview: Armadale and Blackridge (West Lothian) 22nd of August 2024
The sad passing of a very popular local Independent primes sets the stage for a likely Labour win, as well as what is only the second time Reform UK have contested a local election in Scotland.
By-Election Preview: Dunblane and Bridge of Allan (Stirling) 15th of August 2024
A third by-election in the ward of this term comes from yet more grim circumstances, with the councillor’s failure to resign earlier to allow a double adding insult to injury.
By-Election Result: Kintyre and the Islands 2024
Only the second SNP by-election win of the term will give the party a small amount of comfort following a brutal general election result.
Long Read – Ballot Box Britain: GE24 Under PR
After the most unrepresentative and disproportionate election in the UK’s democratic history, what would it have looked like if we actually ensured people’s votes counted? The answer is more of a Traffic Light than a Red Alert.
By-Election Preview: Kintyre and the Islands (Argyll and Bute) 18th of July 2024
The sad passing of a very long serving Lib Dem sets the party up for a faceoff against an Independent for a neighbouring ward who only resigned last year.
GE24: Mayhem in the Marginals
Marginality has meant next to nothing in Scotland at recent elections, and so it proved again this year. That caveat in mind for future, what seats ended up most closely run this time around?
GE24: Shares and Swings are Fascinating Things
A deep-dive into some of the results below the headlines, including where each party did best and worst, and what that might mean for other elections coming up.
GE24: The Headline Results
It’s all change in Scotland at this election, as Labour experienced a stunning revival that almost completely restored their pre-referendum glory, whilst the SNP collapsed into single-digit seats, the Conservatives barely clung on, and the Lib Dems overachieved.
GE24: Final Predictions and Estimates
Hard as it is to believe, polling day is finally here. If you’d told me just … GE24: Final Predictions and EstimatesRead more