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Author: Ballot Box Scotland

BBS EXCLUSIVE Poll Analysis: Survation 21st – 25th of June 2024
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

BBS EXCLUSIVE Poll Analysis: Survation 21st – 25th of June 2024

With just one week left to go until the General Election, Labour are on track to win big at Westminster for the first time in nearly 15 years, whilst Reform UK eat into the Conservative vote. Meanwhile, Ballot Box Scotland positions on democratic reform are completely and utterly vindicated, with overwhelming public support.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 26, 2024June 28, 2024
By-Election Preview: Na Hearadh (CNES) 4th of July 2024
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Na Hearadh (CNES) 4th of July 2024

Ward Profile Cause of By-Election A little bit lost amongst all the drama of the UK … By-Election Preview: Na Hearadh (CNES) 4th of July 2024Read more

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 25, 2024June 25, 2024
Poll Analysis: Savanta 14th – 18th of June 2024
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Savanta 14th – 18th of June 2024

After the previous poll was pretty dire for the SNP, this one has them back in the lead at Holyrood by a wafer-thin margin. Labour meanwhile maintain a clear lead at Westminster, yet Independence remains nearly tied.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 21, 2024June 20, 2024
GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 5-1
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 5-1

The fourth and final entry in the Ballot Box Battlegrounds series for this election covers Perth and Kinross-shire; Mid Dunbartonshire; Dumfries and Galloway; West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine; and North East Fife.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 20, 2024June 19, 2024
GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 9-6
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 9-6

The third entry in the Ballot Box Battlegrounds series for this election covers Aberdeenshire North and Moray East; Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey; Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock; and Lothian East.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 19, 2024June 19, 2024
GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 13-10
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 13-10

The second entry in the Ballot Box Battlegrounds series for this election covers Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy; Gordon and Buchan; Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross; and Edinburgh West.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 18, 2024June 17, 2024
GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 17-14
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 17-14

The first entry in the Ballot Box Battlegrounds series for this election covers East Renfrewshire; Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk; Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber; and Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 17, 2024June 17, 2024
Poll Analysis: Norstat 11th – 14th of June 2024
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Norstat 11th – 14th of June 2024

Some effects unique to Norstat and the fever of a UK general election campaign makes the Holyrood side of this poll extremely messy. Meanwhile, Labour hold a clear lead for that upcoming election, but it appears everyone’s support has plateaued.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 17, 2024June 18, 2024
By-Election Result: Tain and Easter Ross (2024)
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Tain and Easter Ross (2024)

The sad passing of a popular local Independent couldn’t give any other result except the election of a new Independent, but some recovery compared to last year made this a rare bright spot for the SNP lately.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 16, 2024August 26, 2025
GE24 Party Profile: Reform UK(IP)
Posted in
  • UK General Election 2024

GE24 Party Profile: Reform UK(IP)

Reform UK, the artists formerly known as the Brexit Party, a spin-off from UKIP, are simply not going to have the impact in Scotland they will in England. They are nonetheless standing everywhere, and worth keeping an eye on.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 15, 2024June 15, 2024

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 18 hours

    Headline here is about Highland's licensing committee but one of these four, Wick and East Caithness Independent councillor Willie MacKay, has also quit as councillor entirely, continuing Highland Council's almost permanent election footing.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    By-Election Result: Peterhead South and Cruden

    Reform struggle in their strongest Holyrood patch, falling behind the Conservatives at the final stage against the ultimately victorious SNP.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Looking forward to seeing the transfers on this one, because RUK + CON + IND RT + SFP is 53.3% for the Right, so in theory a path was there for RUK or CON win, but didn't happen.

    Pre-election some had suggested I may have been wrong to have the SNP included in my three-way tossup call; vindication!
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Peterhead South and Cruden (Aberdeenshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    SNP: 742 (36.5%, -10.0)
    RUK: 465 (22.9%)
    CON: 432 (21.3%, -20.0)
    IND JR: 150 (7.4%)
    IND RT: 132 (6.5%)
    LD: 56 (2.8%, -9.4)
    SFP: 54 (2.7%)

    SNP elected stage TBC. (No chart as I'm in office for day job atm!)
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-election today for Aberdeenshire's Peterhead South and Cruden ward. A historic SNP stronghold, in an area that swung hard to the Conservatives then Reform = not the easiest outcome to predict!

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