This is a gap-filler “lite” piece, in line with Ballot Box Scotland’s non-coverage policy for polls where the commissioning outlet has not published standard Holyrood VI at the same time as other VI.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
Poll Analysis: YouGov 6th – 9th of December 2022
A fourth poll in a row gives Independence a slender advantage, alongside a projected SNP majority and the worst Holyrood poll of the term so far for the Conservatives.
By-Election Result: Mid Galloway and Wigtown West (2022)
An expected Conservative victory nonetheless bucks national polling trends, with the party gaining ground at the expense of the SNP and Labour despite collapse elsewhere.
Poll Analysis: Ipsos 28th of November – 5th of December 2022
A dramatic poll suggest both the highest Independence support since last year’s Holyrood election, and enough support for the SNP to win a mooted “de facto referendum” Westminster election with a vote majority. Strong polling for Labour and the Greens contrasts with yet more evidence of Conservative collapse.
By-Election Result: Broxburn, Uphall and Winchburgh
Labour overturn a slim SNP advantage to retain a seat in this closely fought ward, as the Conservative vote continues to collapse.
By-Election Result: Linn
Labour emerge the expected victors in another “first Glasgow by-election of the term”, whilst the Conservative plunge to their worst ever result in the ward leads to a surprise Green third place.
Westminster Boundary Review 2023: Revised Proposal Analysis
Background After months of fevered work, the Boundary Commission for Scotland have emerged with revised proposals … Westminster Boundary Review 2023: Revised Proposal AnalysisRead more
By-Election Preview: Mid Galloway and Wigtown West (Dumfries and Galloway) 8th of December 2022
2022 has had a fair spate of accidental councillors, leading in this case to a silent exit by the Labour councillor, giving the Conservatives a strong chance at picking up a third seat.
By-Election Result: Buckie
Given the opportunity to vote they were denied in May, this ward snaps back to normality after the oddity of an uncontested Lib Dem councillor, with the SNP asserting what would likely have been May’s result of a double had they not failed to stand enough candidates.
By-Election Preview: Broxburn, Uphall and Winchburgh (West Lothian) 1st of December 2022
Another sad, early passing of a sitting Labour councillor sets up a tight contest with the SNP attempting to return a previous by-election winner to the council.