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Author: Ballot Box Scotland

By-Election Result: Linn
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Linn

Labour emerge the expected victors in another “first Glasgow by-election of the term”, whilst the Conservative plunge to their worst ever result in the ward leads to a surprise Green third place.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 22, 2022November 25, 2022
Westminster Boundary Review 2023: Revised Proposal Analysis
Posted in
  • Boundary Reviews

Westminster Boundary Review 2023: Revised Proposal Analysis

Background After months of fevered work, the Boundary Commission for Scotland have emerged with revised proposals … Westminster Boundary Review 2023: Revised Proposal AnalysisRead more

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 11, 2022October 7, 2023
By-Election Preview: Mid Galloway and Wigtown West (Dumfries and Galloway) 8th of December 2022
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Mid Galloway and Wigtown West (Dumfries and Galloway) 8th of December 2022

2022 has had a fair spate of accidental councillors, leading in this case to a silent exit by the Labour councillor, giving the Conservatives a strong chance at picking up a third seat.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 5, 2022December 10, 2022
By-Election Result: Buckie
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Result: Buckie

Given the opportunity to vote they were denied in May, this ward snaps back to normality after the oddity of an uncontested Lib Dem councillor, with the SNP asserting what would likely have been May’s result of a double had they not failed to stand enough candidates.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 4, 2022November 4, 2022
By-Election Preview: Broxburn, Uphall and Winchburgh (West Lothian) 1st of December 2022
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Broxburn, Uphall and Winchburgh (West Lothian) 1st of December 2022

Another sad, early passing of a sitting Labour councillor sets up a tight contest with the SNP attempting to return a previous by-election winner to the council.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 31, 2022December 2, 2022
By-Election Preview: Shetland West 17th of November 2022
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Shetland West 17th of November 2022

An early doors resignation from an Independent opens the door for another Independent who only narrowly missed out. Rarely for Islands elections, there are more party candidates on the ballot than Independents – though only three candidates overall.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 18, 2022October 18, 2022
By-Election Preview: Linn (Glasgow) 17th of November 2022
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Linn (Glasgow) 17th of November 2022

A shock by-election following the death of Labour’s former local group leader brings a jam-packed ballot paper, though his party hold the advantage for retaining the seat.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 17, 2022November 18, 2022
Poll Analysis: ComRes 30th of September – 4th of October 2022
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: ComRes 30th of September – 4th of October 2022

Out of a terrible trio of polls for the Conservatives, ComRes is the least bad, with only a slightly decrease versus the previous Holyrood poll. Nonetheless, Labour continue to make up ground, whilst the Constitution remains utterly immobile.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 9, 2022October 9, 2022
Poll Analysis: YouGov 30th of September – 4th of October 2022
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: YouGov 30th of September – 4th of October 2022

One of a trio of polls that all appeared at once, this shows the strongest figures for the SNP and weakest for the Conservatives, suggesting a Holyrood majority for the former and complete Westminster wipeout for the latter. Meanwhile, Scots continue to make the constitution dull as dishwater.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 8, 2022October 11, 2022
Poll Analysis (Lite): Panelbase 7th – 11th of October 2022
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis (Lite): Panelbase 7th – 11th of October 2022

This is a gap-filler “lite” piece, in line with Ballot Box Scotland’s non-coverage policy for polls where the commissioning outlet has not published standard Holyrood VI at the same time as other VI.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 8, 2022April 2, 2023

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 1 day

    Headline here is about Highland's licensing committee but one of these four, Wick and East Caithness Independent councillor Willie MacKay, has also quit as councillor entirely, continuing Highland Council's almost permanent election footing.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    By-Election Result: Peterhead South and Cruden

    Reform struggle in their strongest Holyrood patch, falling behind the Conservatives at the final stage against the ultimately victorious SNP.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    Looking forward to seeing the transfers on this one, because RUK + CON + IND RT + SFP is 53.3% for the Right, so in theory a path was there for RUK or CON win, but didn't happen.

    Pre-election some had suggested I may have been wrong to have the SNP included in my three-way tossup call; vindication!
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    Peterhead South and Cruden (Aberdeenshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    SNP: 742 (36.5%, -10.0)
    RUK: 465 (22.9%)
    CON: 432 (21.3%, -20.0)
    IND JR: 150 (7.4%)
    IND RT: 132 (6.5%)
    LD: 56 (2.8%, -9.4)
    SFP: 54 (2.7%)

    SNP elected stage TBC. (No chart as I'm in office for day job atm!)
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 6 days

    By-election today for Aberdeenshire's Peterhead South and Cruden ward. A historic SNP stronghold, in an area that swung hard to the Conservatives then Reform = not the easiest outcome to predict!

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