An early doors resignation from an Independent opens the door for another Independent who only narrowly missed out. Rarely for Islands elections, there are more party candidates on the ballot than Independents – though only three candidates overall.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
By-Election Preview: Linn (Glasgow) 17th of November 2022
A shock by-election following the death of Labour’s former local group leader brings a jam-packed ballot paper, though his party hold the advantage for retaining the seat.
Poll Analysis: ComRes 30th of September – 4th of October 2022
Out of a terrible trio of polls for the Conservatives, ComRes is the least bad, with only a slightly decrease versus the previous Holyrood poll. Nonetheless, Labour continue to make up ground, whilst the Constitution remains utterly immobile.
Poll Analysis: YouGov 30th of September – 4th of October 2022
One of a trio of polls that all appeared at once, this shows the strongest figures for the SNP and weakest for the Conservatives, suggesting a Holyrood majority for the former and complete Westminster wipeout for the latter. Meanwhile, Scots continue to make the constitution dull as dishwater.
Poll Analysis (Lite): Panelbase 7th – 11th of October 2022
This is a gap-filler “lite” piece, in line with Ballot Box Scotland’s non-coverage policy for polls where the commissioning outlet has not published standard Holyrood VI at the same time as other VI.
Poll Analysis: Survation 28th – 29th of September 2022
As is tradition, we wait for two weeks of intense, dramatic UK political events before we get any Scotland-only polls, and three come along at once. The first of these to finish fieldwork finds hands down the strongest Labour figures since before the 2015 General Election, and Greens tied on seats with the Conservatives.
By-Election Result: Kintyre and the Islands
Strong support on his home island led an Independent to make a quick return to the council, having previously been elected in 2017 as a Conservative.
By-Election Preview: Buckie (Moray) 3rd of November 2022
A surprise Lib Dem elected uncontested in May resigned over the summer, triggering both this by-election and some deeply unedifying behaviour that it would do well to reflect on.
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 17th – 19th of August 2022
Expect this to be the last analysis piece for a Panelbase/Sunday Times poll, unless and until the Sunday Times sort out their bizarre refusal to publicly report Holyrood figures.
By-Election Preview: Kintyre and the Islands (Argyll and Bute) 29th of September 2022
The sad passing of an Independent councillor triggers the first “ordinary” by-election of the 2022-27 council term. What looks on the face of it to be an SNP-Lib Dem-Independent contest may be less rosy for the Lib Dems if their councillor of three decades has become reliant on his personal vote.