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Author: Ballot Box Scotland

Back Catalogue Bonus: Perth City South 23rd of November 2017
Posted in
  • By-elections

Back Catalogue Bonus: Perth City South 23rd of November 2017

This week’s rummage in the 2017 archives brings us to another ward that has had two by-elections in this term, when a Conservative councillor resigned early on, for grim reasons.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 25, 2021November 26, 2021
LE22 Crowdfunder
Posted in
  • Behind the Scenes

LE22 Crowdfunder

I’m taking one small step for polling, one giant leap for Ballot Box Scotland by launching a dedicated crowdfunder to expand my coverage ahead of the 2022 Local Elections, to fund a poll and a series of articles.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 21, 2021November 26, 2021
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 9th – 12th of November 2021
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Panelbase 9th – 12th of November 2021

Though polling hasn’t yet strayed much from May’s election results, the oscillation here gives strong figures for the SNP, Greens and Lib Dems, whilst showing the Conservatives in their weakest position of the term thus far.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 19, 2021December 20, 2021
Back Catalogue Bonus: Inverurie and District 12th of October 2017
Posted in
  • By-elections

Back Catalogue Bonus: Inverurie and District 12th of October 2017

This early-term by-election followed a remarkable hat trick for a Conservative who was elected councillor, councillor again, then MP all within the space of a year.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 18, 2021November 16, 2021
By-Election Preview: Lomond North (Argyll & Bute) 16th of December 2021
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Lomond North (Argyll & Bute) 16th of December 2021

The most surprising of our end of term by-elections comes from a last-minute resignation, where the Conservatives seem the clear favourites, with their only real challengers likely to be an Independent.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 12, 2021November 28, 2021
Back Catalogue Bonus: Tain and Easter Ross 28th of September 2017
Posted in
  • By-elections

Back Catalogue Bonus: Tain and Easter Ross 28th of September 2017

The first of a spate of “councillor elected in May becomes an MP in June” by-elections back in 2017 saw a popular Lib Dem pave the way for the speedy return of a local Independent.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 11, 2021November 11, 2021
CANCELLED! By-Election Preview: Paisley Southeast (Renfrewshire) 14th of December 2021
Posted in
  • By-elections

CANCELLED! By-Election Preview: Paisley Southeast (Renfrewshire) 14th of December 2021

This by-election has been cancelled! A fitting end to what was quite a saga.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 10, 2021November 26, 2021
Back Catalogue Bonus: Fortissat 7th of September 2017
Posted in
  • By-elections

Back Catalogue Bonus: Fortissat 7th of September 2017

For this dip into the archives, we look at the Curious Case of the Conservative Councillor Who (C)Wasn’t, which led to a dramatic but ultimately pointless little success story for a minor party.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 4, 2021November 4, 2021
Poll Analysis: ComRes 22nd – 28th of October 2021
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: ComRes 22nd – 28th of October 2021

A positive poll for Holyrood’s third, fourth and fifth placed parties has each gaining on May’s election, with Labour polling improving for the first time. Meanwhile, the constitutional question is stuck firmly on 52:48 for the Union.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 3, 2021January 25, 2022
By-Election Preview: Fort William and Ardnamurchan (Highland) 2nd of December 2021
Posted in
  • By-elections

By-Election Preview: Fort William and Ardnamurchan (Highland) 2nd of December 2021

The very sad passing of a Conservative councillor gives one of the final by-elections of the term everyone would rather not have had to hold, which is likely to be won by either the SNP or a typical Highland Independent.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 1, 2021November 29, 2021

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BlueSky Latest Posts

  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 20 hours

    Headline here is about Highland's licensing committee but one of these four, Wick and East Caithness Independent councillor Willie MacKay, has also quit as councillor entirely, continuing Highland Council's almost permanent election footing.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 3 days

    By-Election Result: Peterhead South and Cruden

    Reform struggle in their strongest Holyrood patch, falling behind the Conservatives at the final stage against the ultimately victorious SNP.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Looking forward to seeing the transfers on this one, because RUK + CON + IND RT + SFP is 53.3% for the Right, so in theory a path was there for RUK or CON win, but didn't happen.

    Pre-election some had suggested I may have been wrong to have the SNP included in my three-way tossup call; vindication!
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    Peterhead South and Cruden (Aberdeenshire) by-election, first preferences (vs 2022):

    SNP: 742 (36.5%, -10.0)
    RUK: 465 (22.9%)
    CON: 432 (21.3%, -20.0)
    IND JR: 150 (7.4%)
    IND RT: 132 (6.5%)
    LD: 56 (2.8%, -9.4)
    SFP: 54 (2.7%)

    SNP elected stage TBC. (No chart as I'm in office for day job atm!)
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    By-election today for Aberdeenshire's Peterhead South and Cruden ward. A historic SNP stronghold, in an area that swung hard to the Conservatives then Reform = not the easiest outcome to predict!

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