For reasons outlined in this Twitter thread, Ballot Box Scotland has generally had a non-coverage policy for Panelbase polls lately, given the tendency to be commissioned by the Sunday Times who do not then publish the Holyrood vote figures alongside Westminster and Independence. I’ve since flexed this policy such that basically anyone playing silly buggers and not doing full release of core VI figures at one point doesn’t get direct BBS reporting and analysis.
In this case, it wasn’t a Sunday Times commission, but Scot Goes Pop, and these figures were only published nearly three weeks after the end of fieldwork and after other data had been released. Hence, it fell under the non-coverage policy, not least as I didn’t think it would be useful to throw a pre-SNP leadership result poll out into the post-result world! However, it’s really annoying having gaps in my record on the website, especially when future polls may not fall foul of the non-coverage policy and there’s nothing to point my usual “the previous poll by this pollster” link to.
I’m therefore adding “Lite” pieces like this as gap fillers, published with a backdate and without social media promotion. Rather than actual analysis, including commentary and maps, it’ll only be the figures for each vote. That will ensure the record is complete on the BBS website vis a vis “analysis” pieces, without being too much of a flex from the principle of “if you’re not doing it properly I’m not covering it.”
The previous Panelbase covered the 12th – 16th of December 2022. Changes are shown as (vs that poll / vs last election).
Projecting that into seats might give us something like this:
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