A second Survation poll in as many weeks, but commissioned by a firm on the other side of the constitutional aisle to the last, should put the “polling only says what the people paying for it want!” gang’s gas at a peep.
Articles
Poll Analysis: Opinium 5th -11th of September 2024
A bombshell poll from infrequent pollsters Opinium giving the SNP a much healthier lead than would be expected under current circumstances, and Reform UK the status as third party, doesn’t pass the smell test in my view.
By-Election Preview: Falkirk South (Falkirk) 17th of October 2024
The election of the country’s youngest MP offers the opportunity for Labour to leapfrog into victory from third place in this ward.
Long Read: A Decade on from the IndyRef, Challenges Abound for Everyone
Ten years after the referendum that changed Scotland, BBS takes a look at the polling over that time, as well as thoughts on the challenges ahead for both camps.
By-Election Result: Arran
A contest between three on-island candidates and three off-island no hopers saw Labour emerge victorious, in a by-election notable by the absence of the SNP.
Poll Analysis: Survation 27th – 29th of August 2024
The second poll since the General Election suggests that the three big parties are set to suffer at Holyrood, including the worst figures for Conservatives this term, whilst the three smaller parties (including new-ish kids on the block Reform UK) make significant gains.
By-Election Preview: Mossend and Holytown (North Lanarkshire) 10th of October 2024
Another by-election following a Labour councillor making the jump to Westminster, something would have to go very wrong for them not to win this one.
By-Election Preview: Fortissat (North Lanarkshire) 10th of October 2024
A Labour vacancy in a ward that’s never had anything but a Labour lead is guaranteed to go there way. What’ll be interesting here is the performance of the harder-line Pro-Union party.
By-Election Preview: Strathmartine (Dundee) 3rd of October 2024
The departure of the council leader leaves the SNP’s majority hanging in the balance, with their best hope of preserving it to upend over a decade of electoral strategy and abandon the other by-election as lost.
By-Election Preview: Lochee (Dundee) 3rd of October 2024
The sad passing of a Labour councillor is likely to be followed by the election of a party colleague, as a narrow SNP lead in 2022 is unlikely to weather the political changes since.