An early by-election to fill a seat left vacant in May is guaranteed to go to an Independent.
Articles
By-Election Results: Eilean Siar Double
The first by-elections of 2022, unfinished business from May, easily elected two Independents, though the Lib Dems emerged with a surprise second place in their first CNES appearance since 2007.
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 29th of June – 1st of July 2022
An extremely delayed release of data for this poll means this is an extremely light-touch piece, published on the 28th of August only so there is no gap in my record.
Poll Analysis: ComRes 23rd – 28th of June 2022
As the First Minister fires (or, perhaps, misfires) the starting gun for a prospective second Independence referendum, polling finds the constitutional question remains firmly stuck on an almost even split. Labour meanwhile continue to cement their position as second most popular party ahead of beleaguered Conservatives.
By-Election Preview: Eilean Siar Double 30th of June 2022
The first by-elections of the term take us to the Western Isles, where a shocking number of uncontested wards meant many voters didn’t even get to go to the polls in May.
LE22: A Proportional Pickle
A long-standing BBS bugbear is that STV isn’t quite the proportional dream many claim it to be, even if it’s far better than FPTP. This piece looks at how different things could be with a more proportional system.
Poll Analysis: YouGov 18th – 23rd of May 2022
Slightly delayed coverage of a poll that continues to show positive figures for the SNP-Green government, whilst Labour cement their current second place against struggling Conservatives. The unsettled constitutional question begins to look more settled this time, with figures fitting to the 2014 status quo.
LE22: The Precarious Position of Local Government
The Shape of Scotland in 2022 Composition of Administrations Today marks four weeks on from the … LE22: The Precarious Position of Local GovernmentRead more
LE22: Diving into the Detail
In the (just over a) week since the local elections, I’ve been plugging away at data … LE22: Diving into the DetailRead more
Poll Analysis: Panelbase 26th – 29th of April 2022
A no-frills analysis piece with no actual analysis, just to make sure there’s no gap in the record! (This is due to full publication of the poll data taking a very long time, and being consumed by local election coverage.)